BUNDESLIGA fanatic Jonny O'Sullivan (@libero_the) oversees Wednesday night's tussle between Augsburg and Paderborn.
Augsburg v Paderborn | Wednesday 27th May 2020, 19:30 | BT Sport
Augsburg and Paderborn are two sides playing their football at the wrong end of the table, heading towards the latter end of the Bundesliga season.
Augsburg are 12th but are still close enough to be dragged towards a relegation play-off place. Meanwhile, Paderborn sit hopelessly rock bottom, six points away from that 16th-placed play-off position and nine points from safety.
The Fuggerstädter's relative safety comes from their ability to dispatch teams below them in the table. The hosts have won five out of six here against teams who sit in the bottom half – this has given the group vital breathing space.
Now Augsburg are facing the worst of the lot on Wednesday and should be able to brush Paderborn aside, which will probably give them enough points to guarantee top-flight football next season.
In these aforementioned home wins, Augsburg have averaged over two goals per-game. Some of these wins have been impressive also; they have won 4-0 against Hertha Berlin, 3-0 against Fortuna Dusseldorf and bagged 2-1 wins against Frankfurt and Hoffenheim. Last week, the hosts slaughtered Schalke 3-0 away and looked like a side filled with confidence.
If Augsburg manages to overcome a hapless Paderborn, they will see themselves sitting just four points behind Europa League spots, providing a little bit of spice heading towards the end of the season.
Paderborn have been the complete opposite to convincing this season and, in all honesty, looked out of their depth. Without a win in their last eight, while losing five, the visitors look like a side down and out, and need a miracle to pick up all three points in a match, never mind having any hopes of survival.
With only 18 points picked up in 27 matches, this can always be risky as teams with nothing to lose and without pressure can often throw up strange results. However, it may be a little early in the season for them strange results to happen and Augsburg may have loftier ambitions than simply remaining in the league.
This ambition is why I believe that the Bavarian guests can win with a margin of two goals or more. Paderborn have failed to score in five of their last 10 matches and Augsburg have a superb record against sides below them in the league. The Fuggerstädter's 3-0 win away to Schalke may be a catalyst for a positive end to the season and if they were to handpick a fixture, it would probably be Paderborn at home.
Augsburg v Paderborn – Augsburg -1 handicap (9/4 William Hill)