ALEX JONES (@AlexJ0nes9) analyses the odds as Arsenal entertain Fulham in the Premier League on Sunday.
Arsenal vs Fulham | Sunday 18th April 2021, 13:30 | Sky Sports
Arsenal took Slavia Prague to the sword on Thursday, winning 4-0 becoming the first team to win at Slavia in nearly 18 months.
It was possibly one of Arsenal’s best performances of the season with vice-captain Alexandre Lacazette in inspired form of late, scoring four goals in five days.
They take on a Fulham side who have taken a massive hit to their survival status. A last gasp winner for Wolves last week, combined with two wins for Newcastle since then, sees them seven points adrift.
So now it’s crunch time for Fulham who must travel to Man United, Southampton and Chelsea in their away games after their visit to Arsenal.
The Cottagers will view this trip to Arsenal as a must win in their quest for Premier League survival and anything other than three points surely sees their season in serious threat of relegation.
Given it is a must win encounter for Scott Parker’s side, and Arsenal have won their last two games by an aggregate of 7-0, it should be a better match than I first thought.
I believe Arsenal will put a nail in the Fulham coffin on Sunday afternoon. Arsenal are best price 3/4 (1.75) but to be able to double our money with SkyBet by backing Arsenal and under 4.5 goals at 1/1 (2.00) looks worth getting on.
Of Fulham’s 16 losses 14/16 have seen Under 4.5 goals land. For Arsenal, 12/13 of their wins have seen fewer than five goals. We can get some value by opposing a goal laden game at the Emirates, if I were to back a correct score, the 2-0 looks most likely.
In the cards market, Fulham to have the Most Booking Points holds plenty of appeal at 1/1 (2.00) with SkyBet.
This wager will be paid out if Fulham collect more cards than their hosts, with a yellow card being worth 10 points, and a red card 25 points.
- Against the sides in the bottom half of the discipline table (sides who’ve picked up the least number of cards) Fulham have picked up the most cards in 8/17, levelled on the cards in 7/17, with their opponents snatching the most booking points in just 2/17 occasions.
- Against the so called Big 6, Fulham have collected the most booking points in 6/9, levelling on 3/9. A big 6 team hasn’t picked up more cards than Fulham in any of the 9 matches.
Craig Pawson is the man in the middle and he has dished out 2, 5 and 3 yellow cards to Arsenal’s opponents in the three matches he has refereed them this term.
Fulham are the 2nd most carded side in the Premier League, and they travel to play a team in the bottom half for ‘Cards For’ and sit lowest of the fouls per game chart. I’m more than happy to suggest Fulham to collect the Most Booking Points is worth a play at even money.
Best Bets
Arsenal vs Fulham – Arsenal to win and Under 4.5 Goals (1/1 SkyBet)
Arsenal vs Fulham -Fulham most booking points (1/1 SkyBet)