EVERTON host Tottenham on Super Sunday at Goodison Park. We asked Tom Love (@TomLove_18) to source the best bets from the televised encounter.
Everton v Tottenham | Sunday 3rd November 2019, 16:30 | Sky Sports
Two wholly underwhelming and out of form teams meet at Goodison Park on Super Sunday, for what looks a tight fixture to call. Everton have lost five of their last six in the Premier League and Spurs have been beaten in nine of their last 11 away league games. If I could back both to lose, I would!
Everton bossed it against West Ham a fortnight ago and garnered a much needed win that was fully deserved. That been said, the Hammers have been giving their opposition a lot of chances and haven’t been great on the road under Manuel Pellegrini.
The Toffees came crashing back down to earth with a last-minute loss on the south coast against Brighton. Maybe it’s only their strong League Cup run that is keeping gaffer Marco Silva in the hot-seat.
On the whole Everton have been pretty strong at home under Silva. Last season they won over half of their games on their own patch ,which is respectable. This term the Toffees have won three and lost twice with one of those losses coming against Manchester City in a game they probably deserved something from. They could appeal as 9/5 outsiders given their opposition’s woeful road record.
Few positives for Spurs
Since February Mauricio Pochettino has far from enjoyed his away days. Defensively Spurs have been a shambles and they’re starting to remind me of Arsenal when they travel. The intensity just hasn’t been there for the most part but there are a few bright sparks coming to the fore recently.
Tanguy N’Dombele will be a Premier League star in my eyes and he was very impressive against Red Star in the Champions League, and came on and made a visible impact at Anfield last week. Also, Harry Kane has got back scoring with three in two for the England man.
However, their weaknesses are so clear and obvious at full back, surely it will be something Everton try to exploit. Danny Rose doesn’t want to be there and the club wanted rid in the summer but couldn’t find a suitor. Serge Aurier is way too erratic to be a defender at a top four club and has been largely at fault for poor results due to questionable positioning and a worrying lack of discipline.
Elsewhere, Jan Verthongen has lost a yard of pace whereas Davinson Sanchez and Juan Foyth are far from the finished article. Spurs fans are growing increasingly frustrated with Christian Eriksen’s poor form – he is the creative spark of this team and without him on song they lack a link from midfield to attack.
It’s a very odd dynamic at the club at the minute and Poch doesn’t help himself with some questionable starting line-ups. His press conferences seem like he’s struggling for ideas and with a lack of quantity in terms of recruitment in the summer they look light. Even though their squad is strong, especially at the top of the pitch, I’m not sure you can back them as favourites in their current guise.
The betting angles
I’m happy to steer well clear of the match odds markets here but there’s a few bets that could appeal elsewhere. Over 2.5 Goals has been clipped in throughout the week after opening at 5/6, it’s now as short as 4/6 and that’s not really a price I want to entertain but I do think their will be goals.
Everton have scored two or more in their last three in all competitions. Richarlison, like Kane, has notched in back-to-back matches and will be licking his lips at facing up against this shoddy Spurs backline. Both key men to score has been boosted out to 8/1 with Skybet and I’ll jump on that with it being as short as 11/2 elsewhere.
Kane also has a phenomenal record against Everton – he’s bagged four consecutive braces against the Merseyside club and he’s best price 6/1 (William Hill) to make that five on the spin.
One of my favourite go to bets is Both Teams To Score, each team Over 3 Corners and each team Over 1 Card and this is priced at 15/2 with Bet365 when using their BetBuilder feature, and I think it’s worth a shot.
The corners seem to fly in at Goodison Park, the hosts racked up 11 corners last time out against West Ham and prior to that their games at Goodison have seen them post 6, 12, 5, 7 and 12. Spurs should bring a threat going forward too and the likes of Kane and Heung Min Son like to get shots off which can leads to corners.
I guess the sticking point could be with cards as Martin Atkinson has the whistle and suffice to say he’s no Mike Dean. However, given the need for a win for both sides things could get heated, what’s more both sides are seeing an average of 2+ cards per game in the Premier League.
I’ll also have a dip into the player shots market. Given the fact Everton get so many corners at home it’s worth looking at their aerial threats in these markets. Unfortunately the towering giant Yerry Mina is out of this one but it should mean Michael Keane will be the main target from set pieces.
The England international has managed a shot on target in his last two home games and at 4/1 (William Hill) he looks a worthy punt to do just that again on Sunday.
Best Bets
Everton v Tottenham – Harry Kane and Richarlison both to score (8/1 SkyBet)
Everton v Tottenham – Both Teams To Score, each team Over 3 Corners, each team Over 1 Card (15/2 Bet365)
Everton v Tottenham – Michael Keane to have 1+ shot on-target (4/1 William Hill)
