STATS expert Stats Bet (@statsbet) takes an analytical look at Sunday's Bundesliga action, pinpointing the value bets according to the numbers.
Wolfsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach | Sunday 3rd December 2017, 17:00 | BT Sport
Gameweek 14 in the Bundesliga concludes with Wolfsburg taking on Borussia Monchengladbach at the Volkswagen-Arena and we should be for an eventful game.
Since Martin Schmidt arrival at the Wolves he has certainly increased their attacking intent. Previously ranking 13th for shots and 16th for shots on-target with a 20% conversion rate, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per-game, the hosts are now in the top 10 for all three metrics, scoring on average 1.65 goals per-game.
Wolfsburg have certainly been exciting to watch under Schmidt’s tenure with an average of 3.20 goals per-game on home soil. With a current Expected Goals supremacy of 1.78 against Sunday’s opponents, goals should be there for the hosts.
Monchengladbach currently rank highly in the shot metrics table sitting in the top 10 for both shots and for shots on-target for away sides. Overall, the visitors have had 171 shots with 46% of them hitting the target and 29% resulting in a goal.
Dieter Heckling’s charges have scored in all matches on the road this season but have only managed to keep one clean sheet with an average of 4.50 goals per-game. With a current Expected Goals supremacy of 1.94 over Sunday’s opponents we should see them on the scoresheet.
With a combined Expected Goals of 3.72 and both teams currently scoring an even amount of their goals in both halves of matches we should be in for an enthralling game from the first whistle and Both Teams To Score in both halves appeals at 11/1 (William Hill) and Over 3.5 Goals (7/4 William Hill) should also be backed.
Best Bets
Wolfsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach – Over 3.5 Goals (7/4 William Hill)
Wolfsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach – Both Teams To Score in both halves (11/1 William Hill)
