BUNDESLIGA boff Tom Loveys (@ValueBetMethods) returns to shares his favourite fancies from Friday and Saturday's action in Germany.
Hamburg v Bayer Leverkusen | Friday 19:30 | BT Sport
Leverkusen travel away to relegation-threatened Hamburg sitting in an unfamiliar ninth position.
Die Werkself have lost four of their eight games away, however more recently things seem to have improved, winning two out of the last four on their travels and the only defeat coming to Bayern, which in itself isn't disastrous.
Leverkusen take on Hamburg, who's record reads W2-D2-L4 at home and whilst they've triumphed in their last two homes games to Schalke and Augsburg, I think the 28/25 (188BET) offered on a Bayer win represents value as they look to climb up the league towards European spots.
Borussia Monchengladbach v Freiburg | Saturday 14:30
Another team who weren't expected to struggle, Borussia Monchengladbach entertain eight-place Freiburg. Gladbach sit in 13th having lost eight of their 18 games this season.
The Foals are still a force at Borussia Park though with four wins, three draws and a couple of losses this term and again are a side keen to climb the league quickly.
Freiburg could be considered to be over-achieving this year having knocked up 26 points, including most recently a home victory over Hertha. The visitors have struggled away from the Schwarzwald though, with five losses from nine and no clean sheets.
I'm backing the home side to get back to winning ways at 41/50 (Marathon).
Hertha Berlin v Ingolstadt | Saturday 14:30
Hertha Berlin have been a force at the Olympic Stadium this year, winning eight of nine games and only conceding four in the process.
This now looks a great opportunity to forget last week's dismal away defeat to Freiburg when they entertain 16th-place Ingolstadt.
Die Schanzer currently sit in the relegation play-off position and a win could pull them away from danger and above Werder Bremen.
However, with six losses from nine away this could be a difficult feat and the odds of a Hertha win of 28/25 (Unibet) look surprisingly larger than I expected.
Best Bets
Hamburg v Bayer Leverkusen – Bayer Leverkusen to win (28/25 188BET)
Borussia Monchengladbach v Freiburg – Borussia Monchengladbach to win (41/50 Marathon)
Hertha Berlin v Ingolstadt – Hertha Berlin to win (28/25 Unibet)
