BOOKINGS man Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has spotted some card value in the MLS Play-Offs.
DC United v New England Revolution | Thursday 00:30 | Sky Sports 2
Thanks to WLB stablemate Will Dyer for the heads up on this one. If you haven't read his excellent MLS preview I would encourage you to do so.
DC United host New England early on Thursday in the first of the knockout round games of the 2015 MLS Cup. I have analysed the past four matches at this stage of the competition in previous years and the results are pretty conclusive that there are usually plenty of cards!
One match involving New York Red Bulls had no cards in it but the other three read nine, eight and eight. Supportive stats for a bet tonight for sure.
The whisteblower in this one is Mark Geiger. Typically his stats suggest a lenient referee (five, two, one, two and two in past few matches). However, he took charge of the meeting between these two teams in May. That day he dished out eight yellows and two reds.
Interestingly, in his past four games covering New England he has brandished 12, six, seven and five. All would have been winners based on the current line.
With plenty at stake tonight and strong stats I am recommending over 45pts with William Hill at 17/20.
DC United v New England Revolution – Over 45 Bookings Points (17/20 William Hill)