Stats: Underrated Swabians the value call Saturday call

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STATS genius Stats Bet (@statsbet) takes an analytical look at Saturday’s Bundesliga contest between Augsburg and Borussia Monchengladbach, pinpointing the value bet according to the trends.

Augsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach | Saturday 26th August 2017, 14:30

Using last season’s expected points, there is great value to be found in the Bundesliga on Saturday as Augsburg entertain Borussia Monchengladbach, and I like the look of Manuel Baum’s hosts.

Augsburg’s home record last season was W5-D6-L6 – avoiding defeat in 64% of games – whilst their return when welcoming expected top-half sides was W2-D0-L2, again avoiding defeat in 50% of fixtures.

Meanwhile, expected bottom-five clubs managed W10-D4-L6 when playing host to expected top-half Bundesliga sides – a 50% win rate.

Visitors Gladbach managed only W1-D1-L3 when travelling to expected bottom-five teams, failing to record a victory in 80% of their outings.

Dieter Hecking’s club haven’t been prolific away from Borussia-Park either, scoring just 1.10 goals per-game and shipping 1.80 – the fourth highest in the division.

Considering the trends of both teams, the 13/18 (188BET) on Augsburg +0.50 in the Asian Handicap market is good value – we’ll profit should the Fuggerstädter avoid defat.

Best Bets

Augsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach – Augsburg +0.50 Asian Handicap (13/18 188BET)

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