THE final Saturday of the Premier League season kicks off with Man City at home to Leicester. Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) shares his views.
Man City v Leicester| Saturday 12:30 | Sky Sports 1
I took on Man City last week against Crystal Palace last weekend and received a bloody nose as they mowed down the hapless South London club at the Etihad.
Seven days on we’re presented with similar quotes here as Pep Guardiola’s side host Leicester at the Etihad. Again, I’m looking to take them on.
Cramped quotes of 2/11 are clearly there because of the way the game is set up. Man City, in fourth place would be in deep trouble if they lost this game with Arsenal and Manchester United breathing down their neck.
Leicester meanwhile are stranded in mid-table bliss and have nothing concrete to play for. Incredibly they’re now just two points off eight place which would be an astonishing finishing position after all the turmoil this campaign.
The Foxes are 14/1 to win here which is massive for a side who’ve been in such great form and have often been too smart for their opponents.
Man City have lost their last two matches against Leicester. The 3-1 loss last February handed the Midlanders title favouritism while they were picked apart 4-2 last December amidst the Foxes’ turmoil.
Time for some crude numbers. Since Craig Shakespeare took the reins at the King Power the Foxes have gone P10 W7 D1 L2, that’s a 22 point haul. Man City, within the same period, have picked up just 17.
22 points in 10 games is a points per game ratio of 2.2 of course and if this form had been replicated throughout the season, Leicester would have accrued 77 points and been level with Spurs in the table.
On the basis that Leicester remain in terrific form they have to be my focus here when priced up at these obese odds. I’ll back them +1.5 at a very decent 52/35 with 188BET.
Man City v Leicester – Leicester +1.5 (52/35 188BET)