Football League: Fast-starting Trotters to continue promotion charge

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FOOTBALL LEAGUE expert Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) shares his selections from Saturday’s EFL card.

Aston Villa v Norwich | Saturday 15:00

Aston Villa

  • Aston Villa have won each of their last 3 home games ‘to nil’ – they’ve not won 4/4 home games ‘to nil’ since 1983.
  • Aston Villa are the Championship’s form team over the past six games (W5-D0-L1).
  • Aston Villa have W9-D7-L2 at Villa Park this season, scoring in 17/18. However, the Villans have only kept 6/18 home clean sheets.
  • Aston Villa have seen Both Teams To Score win in 11/18 (61%) Villa Park games.
  • Aston Villa may continue to field Mile Jedinak at centre-half due to injuries.

Norwich

  • Norwich have W5-D5-L2 in their last 12 games – 9 of which saw Both Teams To Score pay-out.
  • Norwich have only W1-D4-L8 in their last 13 away games but the Canaries have scored in 15/19 away games this season.
  • Norwich have scored in each of their last 14 matches and seen Both Teams To Score bank in 25/38 (66%) overall this season.
  • Norwich have seen Both Teams To Score collect in 14/19 (74%) away games.
  • Norwich will be playing Steven Whittaker at left-back due to Mitchell Dijks’ suspension and have Youssouf Mulumbu missing.

Back Both Teams To Score at 19/20 (888)

Bolton v Chesterfield | Saturday 15:00

Bolton

  • Bolton have won 5/5 games – they’ve not won 6 consecutive games since 2000 under Sam Allardyce.
  • Bolton have scored 16 goals in those 5 games, notching 4+ goals on 3 occasions.
  • Bolton have won 10/14 home league games and won 13/18 home games across all competitions.
  • Bolton have had W/W double results in 3/5 home games against bottom-six clubs this season.
  • Bolton have had W/W double results in 9/20 (45%) home games this season and lead at half-time in 11/20 (55%) home games this season.
  • Bolton have had W/W double results in 16/39 (41%) of league games this season, leading at half-time in 19 (49%) matches.

Chesterfield

  • Chesterfield have W1-D5-L7 in their last 13 games and W2-D6-L10 in their last 18 games.
  • Chesterfield have W1-D0-L7 when taking on the top-six this season.
  • Chesterfield have lost by 2+ goals in 6/9 trips to top-six teams.
  • Chesterfield have lost 23/40 (58%) games this season, have lost 8/11 away games across all competitions and lost 14/20 (70%) away league games.

Back Bolton/Bolton in the Half-Time/Full-Time market at 11/10 (Coral).

Stevenage v Barnet | Saturday 15:00

Stevenage

  • Stevenage have W9-D2-L1 in their last 12 matches, keeping 6/12 clean sheets.
  • Stevenage have won 7 consecutive home games, winning 4/5 at home by at least 3 goals lately.
  • Stevenage have W10-D4-L6 in their last 20 home games against bottom-half teams and W14-D2-L4 in their last 20 when hosting teams below them.
  • Only league leaders Doncaster have scored more goals than Stevenage this season.

Barnet

  • Barnet have W2-D6-L6 in their last 14 games and have W1-D4-L3 in their last 8 games, failing to keep a clean sheet.
  • Barnet’s only win since the Rossi Eames and Henry Newman partnership ended came against struggling Cheltenham last time out.
  • Barnet have W1-D2-L3 away and kept only 1/9 away clean sheet.
  • Barnet have W4-D7-L9 in their last 20 away games at top-half teams and W3-D8-L9 in their last 20 games against clubs above them in the table.

Best Bets

Aston Villa v Norwich – Both Teams To Score (19/20 888)

Bolton v Chesterfield – Bolton/Bolton (11/10 Coral)

Stevenage v Barnet – Stevenage to win (23/20 Bet365)

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About Author

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After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production. With a huge passion for stats, the Football League and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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