BOOKINGS BOFF Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) is back with a La Liga cards angle for Friday night.
Malaga v Sporting Gijon | Friday 19:45 | Sky Sports 5
Struggling Sporting Gijon travel south to tackle mid-table Malaga on Friday night and there looks to be some serious value for cards backers.
William Hill are offering 1/2 on Over 55 Bookings Points. However, Bet365 obviously think differently because they are offering 1.90 on Over 5.5 Cards on their Asian line.
I've assessed the stats and it definitely supports the ‘overs'.
The past five meetings between these two clubs have seen total cards numbers of 6-4,-10-8-3 – at an average of 6.20 total cards per-game.
This season Malaga average 3.80 cards per-game – nobody in Spain's top flight have collected more red cards than their tally of three.
Indeed, in the last four matches in La Liga involving Malaga there have been no less than six red cards!
For their part, Gijon average 2.80 cards per-game this season. Combined with Malaga's 2016/17 stats, that suggests that 6.60 cards could be expected at La Roseleda.
Gil Manzano is the man in charge of this match and he averages 6.80 cards per-game in 2016/17.
Encouragingly, in career games officiating the hosts he has typically given them 3.77 cards per-game. He averages 3.5 cards per-game to Gijon, which suggests 7.27 might be expected in this fixture.
Overall, the 1.90 on over 5.5 cards offered by Bet365's Asian line looks great value!
Best Bets
Malaga v Sporting Gijon – Over 5.5 Asian Cards (1.90 Bet365)
