GAVIN MURPHY (@GamePlanGavin) is heading to the italian capital on Wednesday night for another dish of bookings goodness.
Lazio v Cagliari | Wednesday 19:45
Cagliari make the trip to Rome on Wednesday evening and it is fair to say, that they have plenty of history when they play Lazio.
Sardinia’s finest have had five red cards in the last six meetings between these two clubs. Indeed, Cagliari have had a man sent off in each of the last three meetings anywhere.
The past six meetings have seen total card numbers of 10-7-8-2-2-8 – that is an average of 6.17 cards per-game.
When played in the Eternal City, the average is 5.67 cards per-game. The last three meetings however have seen a much higher count of 8.30 cards per-game.
Forty-three year-old Dominico Celi gets the whistle for this showdown. The man from Bari is a fairly lenient referee with a current season average of 4.67 cards per-game.
However, he averages more when covering these two sides with 3.13 typically going to the hosts and 2.77 to the Sardinians. That suggests that 5.90 total cards might be expected in this one.
Furthermore, I was encouraged to see that Celi gave six red cards in just 18 Serie A matches last season.
This term, Lazio and Cagliari rank as joint-third for yellow cards in Italy’s top flight with 23 per club. Cagliari have also received one red card.
It’s impossible to ignore the recent high card counts in this fixture and so I’m recommending Over 5.5 Cards at 1.95 on Bet365‘s Asian line.
Lazio v Cagliari – Over 5.5 Cards on the Asian line (1.95 Bet365)