Bookings Tips | Accrington v Cheltenham | 8th October 2016

0

CARD KING Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) returns with a bookings bet from Saturday’s depleted Football League card.

Accrington v Cheltenham | Saturday 15:00

International matches have naturally captured the attention of punters this week and will continue to do so for the next few days. However, as I have a significantly lower success rate in international football than domestic games, my focus will be on League Two.

Accrington host Cheltenham in a pretty unremarkable looking fixture on Saturday afternoon. Stanley (12th) sit in relative comfort whilst their visitors from Gloucestershire occupy 22nd place.

The Robins average 18.20 bookings points per-game in league action. Hosts Accrington are one of the more ill-disciplined teams at this level, averaging 23.6 bookings points per-game.

The past six meetings between these two clubs have seen total bookings points of 20-40-40-20-40-30 – that is an average of 31.6 bookings points. However, when the games were played at the Crown Ground, the make-ups were lower at 20-20-30 – at an average of 23.3 bookings points.

The referee in this fixture is usually very lenient. Fifty-six year-old Nigel Miller is in charge and he averages 20 bookings points in 2016/17.

The man from county Durham has officiated eight games this term issuing bookings points of 0-0-50-25-55-10-0 and 20. Encouragingly, he averages just 0.66 cards to Accrington in his career and 1.00 card per-game to Cheltenham.

He covered Accrington once last season and gave zero cards in a 1-1 draw at home to Cambridge. He didn’t officiate Cheltenham Town as the played in the National League.

Miller has given zero cards in 3/8 matches this season – a repeat is a 9/1 chance here with William Hill.

However, both teams have collected cards this term so I’d adopt a more cautious approach; 63% of this referee’s 2016/17 matches have featured 25 bookings points or less. That line this week is 8/5 and did tempt me.

The probability of success though increases to 75% this season for Under 35 Bookings Points. In 2015/16, that market would have won in 22/32 of Miller’s games (69%).

I am always comfortable going under with this official. The last three head-to-head meetings at this venue all had 30 or less bookings points and so with a high probability of success, I’m recommending Under 35 Bookings Points at 8/11 with William Hill.

If you’re new to Bookings Points – a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives two yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 Bookings Points.

Best Bets

Accrington v Cheltenham – Under 35 Bookings Points (8/11 William Hill)

Get your first bet free

Want TWO Free Bets And £10 Cash?

Are you yet to sign-up for a betting account at Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor? If so, now is your time as we’ve a bucket load of free bets to giveaway to new customers.

Sign-up to Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor via any of the links on this page, deposit and place your first bet and drop us a line at [email protected]

We’ll then arrange for TWO free bets to be dropped into your betting accounts and we’ll also cover your first bet with instant cash up to £10.

Remember folks, if you ever want to join a new bookmaker give us a shout – no other site will give you extra bonuses such as free bets and instant cash like WLB!

How To Claim Your Free Bet And Instant Cash:

  1. Register for a new account at Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor via any of the links on this page. If you don’t use a link from WLB, you won’t be valid.
  2. Deposit and place your first bet (minimum £10).
  3. Email [email protected] to let us know your account username, the bet you placed and the bookmaker you’ve joined.
  4. We’ll arrange for TWO £10 free bets to be dropped into your betting accounts as well as £10 instant cash to cover your first bet.
  5. Remember, you’ll also be entitled to the new customer bonus or promotion with each of Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor too. However, if you don’t join via the links on this page, you won’t be valid for our free bet and instant cash giveaway.
  6. Free bet crediting can take up to 28 days.
  7. Any questions? Just drop us an email or tweet us at @WeLoveBettingUK.

Current Offers

888Sport

888Sport

Get treble the odds on your first bet when you sign-up at 888Sport10/10
Bet365

Bet365

Claim up to £200 in bonuses when you join Bet36510/10
Ladbrokes

Ladbrokes

Claim a £50 Welcome Bonus when you join Ladbrokes. Use code 'F50'10/10
Share.

About Author

Profile photo of gavinmurphy

I first got interested in gambling through my cousin. He's a professional gambler and got me hooked as a teenager when you had to pay the 9% tax. Who remembers that?! These days I prefer to specialise on one market rather than spread myself too thinly. Hence my love of cards! Hopefully I can make others a few bob in the process of sharing my bets on WeLoveBetting. On a personal note I love most sports especially cricket, rugby and NFL. I support Tottenham and all things Welsh and outside of sport I enjoy reading autobiographies particularly with a glass of good wine!

Leave A Reply