Premier League Tips | 1st October 2016


BACK from his holidays, Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) fires out his three best bets from Saturday’s Premier League card.

Swansea v Liverpool | Saturday 12:30 | Sky Sports 1

This looks like being Swansea manager Francisoc Guidolin’s last game in charge of the Welsh club. Harsh eh? The Italian caressed Swansea out of the relegation zone in the second half of last season and has faced a tough fixture list so far this season with matches against Man City, Chelsea and Leicester.

Going through their six Premier League games this season it’s hard to find huge faults with the Week 2 loss to Hull the only poor result. The way they fought back against Chelsea three weeks ago was to their credit.

I’m banking on them scoring against Liverpool on Saturday. They’ve notched in six of their eight matches this season. They’ve twice penetrated Man City, caused Chelsea problems and found the back of Leicester’s net.

Liverpool, for all their rampant brilliance so far this season have leaked in all six of their Premier League games and conceded 19 shots on target.

At the other end of the pitch no club has had more shots on target than them (43) and they’ve scored in seven of their eight games over the season so far.

I think there’s reasons to believe that both sides will find the back of the net in the early game on Saturday and at 11/17 with Marathon I’ll get involved. Let’s hope for one last smile from Sig.Guidolin.

Hull v Chelsea | Saturday 15:00

Once again Hull feature in my Saturday Premier League bets. I don’t plan these things, it’s pure coincidence. They let me down last week after taking a pounding from Liverpool but I’m hoping they make an impact against Chelsea this weekend.

Football’s hyperbole was kicking into action this week with suggestions that Chelsea are in crisis. While that may be an exaggeration there’s definitely something not quite right at Stamford Bridge at the moment.

A soft fixture list saw Antonio Conte’s side win their opening three matches this season and race to the higher reaches of the Premier League table.

1-0 up against Swansea three weeks ago and with very few beads of sweat on their brow, the Blues inexplicably conceded twice in quick succession to go 2-1 down. A late equaliser from Diego Costa saved their blushes but it seems that that game has rocked their confidence.

That game was also the last time we saw John Terry too and it’s fair to say the West London club have floundered without their controversial captain.

David Luiz has been brought back in but still needs to re-settle while Gary Cahill seems to have lost the plot with a series of mistakes sitting alongside bizarre tweets and interviews.

The stats back this up too. Eight games this season and in seven of them they have conceded. With nine league goals leaked they sit alongside Bournemouth and Middlesbrough and beneath Burnley in the goals conceded table.

With John Terry out once again on Saturday I’m happy to back Hull to score here at 8/11 with Marathon Bet. The Humberside have notched in seven of their eight games this season. That’s impressive.

Watford v Bournemouth | Saturday 15:00

Betting is hard, there’s no doubt about that. It’s been a tough week for me personally on the punting front and it all began on Monday night with Watford disappointing against Burnley.

You would have thought the Hornets would have come into that match full of beans after their excellent wins over West Ham and Manchester United but it seems they were bullied by brusque Burnley.

On Saturday they face a Bournemouth side fizzing after an outstanding win over Everton and with their manager being mentioned in various circles with regard to the England vacancy.

Both these sides come into this game on seven points and no doubt both managers will be targeting points from this fixture. I’m expecting goals but I’m not bold enough to go Over 2.5.

Bournemouth look a tidy side and bar seven goals leaked against the Manchester clubs have kept things tight elsewhere with just two conceded in their other four matches. Four of their last five games have gone Under 2.5.

Watford bring a bit more exuberance with 10 goals scored this season, 11 conceded and penetration in six of their seven games. It makes Monday night’s flop all the more inexplicable.

So anyway, chuck all this into the pot and it’s the 2-3 goals spread that appeals to me here. It’s copped in four of Watford’s seven games and I think it’s a runner at 21/20 with Marathon Bet.

Best Bets

Swansea v Liverpool – Both Teams To Score (11/17 Marathon Bet)

Hull v Chelsea – Hull to score (8/11 Marathon Bet)

Watford v Bournemouth – Exactly 2-3 Goals (11/10 Marathon Bet)

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Chris first got interested in betting back in 2000 when he began working in betting shops throughout Scotland. He has remained in the industry ever since, specialising in marketing and PR roles. Outside of betting, his interests are listening to Blur and following Queen Of The South.

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