THE ever-popular Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has found an angle on the bookings markets for Friday nigh’s La Liga clash in Barcelona.
Espanyol v Malaga | Friday 21.00 | Sky Sports Interactive
La Liga action continues on Friday night and I like the look of the later game as Malaga travel to Barcelona to take on Espanyol.
Gil Manzano is in charge of this fixture and he averaged 6.26 cards-per-league-appearance in 2015/16.
In week one in Spain all 10 matches were ‘under’ their lines. That trend surely won’t continue.
I think the bookies may have overreacted to that stat in this game.
The past five meetings between these two teams had total card numbers of 6-7-12-8-5 at an average of 7.60 cards-per-game.
Delve a little deeper and we can see that Manzano averages 4.56 cards-per-game to Espanyol in his career and 3.75 cards-per-game to Malaga – that suggests that 8.31 cards might be expected in this game.
With an above average card issuer in charge and two of Spain’s most prolific card recipients involved, I’m definitely going to be backing Over 5.5 Cards on the Asian line with Bet365 at 1.90.
It’s a line that would have won in 9/10 of Manzano’s opening La Liga games last season
Espanyol v Malaga – Over 5.5 Asian Cards (1.90 Bet365)