CARD king Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) focuses on La Liga this Thursday as he looks at Granada v Levante.
Granada v Levante | Thursday 20:00 | Sky Interactive
A humdinger of a match awaits on Thursday night as relegation threatened rivals Granada and Levante do battle in southern Spain. The general line in this one is under or over 7.5 cards. That has no interest as I believe I have found my most rock solid bet of the season.
The whisteblower in this tussle is Santiago Latre. He is a middle of the road referee who averages 5.47 cards per game in La Liga.
I did consider over 3 Granada cards at 29/20 with William Hill simply because of what is at stake in this fixture and because Latre averages 4.1 cards per game to the hosts when covering them in his career. Instead, I’m recommending over 3 second half cards. This has won in 6/6 head to head meetings. The count read as 4-9-6-5-5-9.
Furthermore, this referee gives 71% of his cards after the half time oranges are handed out. Indeed, Granada collect 66% of their cards in the second half and Levante an even better 69%.
You would imagine that this game will become more frantic and desperate as time goes on as both sides know the outcome is crucial to their survival hopes.
Ok, its not a price that will allow you to retire early but 4/6 with William Hill on over 3 second half cards looks like buying money.
Granada v Levante – Over 3 Second Half Cards (4/6 William Hill)
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