CHELSEA are off to the Palace to face the injury-hit Eagles. Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) looks at the odds for us.
Crystal Palace v Chelsea | Sunday 13:30 | Sky Sports 1
When I first saw the odds for this match I thought Crystal Palace looked big value, but scratch the surface and bumper odds of 16/5 look less attractive.
Alan Pardew’s side have been severely depleted by a spate of injuries and suspensions and go into this match without the services of Yohan Cabaye, Yannick Bolasie, Connor Wickham, Bakary Sako and Dwight Gayle.
For a side with far shallower resources than the Premier League elite it’s a bitter pill to swallow and that’s been shown in their last two results when they’ve failed to beat Bournemouth and Swansea.
I’m probably coming across a little harsh on Palace because let’s not forget they’re actually unbeaten in six games and will return to the Top 5 if they pick up three points here.
While Palace look a little taped-up Chelsea slowly might be returning to a decent level of form. Since Guus Hiddink arrived at the club they’ve gone unbeaten in three matches and overall it’s just one defeat in five.
On top of this mini-resurgence Dirty Diego Costa looked sharp against Watford on Boxing Day with two goals and he’s back in the side today after missing the Manchester United game.
But at 21/20 there’s absolutely zilch value in backing them. As you know this side have been woeful all season and while there’s been improvement under the Dutchman it’s been slight.
Palace have been a far better side than them this season and have already beaten them at Stamford Bridge taking 21/20 might eke profit but you’re not getting a fair deal.
The natural punt is to back Unders but at 13/20 it’s a pretty short price. It might be the right price, but it’s certainly too short to highlight as a selection here.
There are a number of bets on my mind here (Under 2.5 Goals, Chelsea, Costa Anytime, 1 or 2 Goals etc) but the price on all them is too short so I’m going to opt for 2-3 Goals at 21/20 with BetVictor.
I think Chelsea will score on Sunday against this depleted Palace side and hopefully the South London side can join the party too. This is the only bet that really appeals at the prices.
Crystal Palace v Chelsea – Exactly 2-3 Goals (21/20 BetVictor)
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