NFL Tips | Kansas City Chiefs @ Green Bay Packers | 29th September 2015


AN easy win for our Monday night man Tom Selwyn (@tom_selwyn) last week and he’s back with a strong view on this encounter.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Green Bay Packers | Tuesday 01:30 | Sky Sports 1

After their excellent Week 1 performance, I think Kansas City will be very disappointed to find themselves with a 1-1 record going into Lambeau Field for an extremely tough matchup with Green Bay, where QB Aaron Rodgers is simply immaculate.

It’s now been 18 games, 545 pass attempts and 43 TDs throw since his last INT at home – it’s this stat that I’ll mainly be basing my best bet on in this matchup. I’ll be backing Kansas City to have the Most Turnovers at odds-against.

Of course even though this is an incredible stat and Rodgers is playing at an exceptionally high level, there are a number of other reasons to get behind this bet. Firstly, the Packers offense as a whole has taken very good care of the ball through the first two games of the season and has only committed one turnover so far – a fumble by RB James Starks.

Comparatively, the Chiefs offense has been uncharacteristically careless so far this season and has given the ball away five times – two INTs by QB Alex Smith, two fumbles by RB Jamaal Charles and one fumble by WR De-Anthony Thomas. Both defences have forced the same number as each other, with three apiece on the year.

It’s not just the stats that make me feel good about this bet either as I feel the game in general will play into our hands. Green Bay has a prolific offense even without their #1 WR Jordy Nelson and it’s quite likely that this will be a high-scoring game.

If Kansas City fall behind Green Bay in the 1st half, then Alex Smith will be forced into taking more risks and will hopefully throw some bad passes that can be intercepted by the Packers.

Green Bay are usually quite dominant at home and they will hopefully be helped along on Monday night by some Kansas City turnovers.

Best Bets

Kansas City Chiefs @ Green Bay Packers – Kansas To Have The Most Turnovers (23/20 William Hill)

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About Author

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Tom got into betting after taking a marketing role at Sportingbet in 2009. He's since moved on to IT, but has remained within the industry. His passion in both betting and watching is the NFL, but also follows many other sports. Other interests include rock music, following the Patriots and being confused as to which Nottingham Forest team will show up each week.

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