IT’S European NAP time! Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) shares his best bet from across the continent.
Palermo v Fiorentina | Sunday 14.00 | BT Sport 2
For weeks now (it might even be months) I’ve begging anyone that can bothered to listen, to give Serie A a chance. It’s enjoyed a real transformation in the past two years or so and is now a real hotbed for goals and attacking intent.
Sadly, the negative stereotypes continue to stunt its growth in the UK but I can assure you, the majority of clubs plying their trade in the Italian top-flight are forward-thinking. You just need to look, compare and contrast the goal records in Serie A to that of its European counterparts – Serie A is out-scoring the Premier League this season!
So I’m going to continue on the theme of picking out big value Both Teams To Score bets. Atalanta and Genoa did the business for us last Sunday with the bet banking before half-time and I’m hoping for something similar this weekend when Palermo welcome Fiorentina to Sicily.
I’ve had to be quick as the price seems to be shrinking on an hourly basis but at the time of writing, Boylesports are dangling 7/10 in our direction on BTTS and that’s just too good to ignore. Get on quick before it’s cut even further (some firms are as short 4/9); by my estimation it should be around 1/2 – making that 7/10 a good value selection.
Palermo bagged a 1-0 win away to Cagliari in the island derby last time out but taking their results at their Stadio Renzo Barbera home in isolation, the Rosanero have returned a huge 13/18 (72%) of Both Teams To Score winners, netting in all bar three and keeping just three clean sheets across the same spread.
Fiorentina remain in a battle for a Europa League place and managed to bag a third successive Serie A victory on Monday when strolling to a 3-0 success over beleaguered Parma. It was the ninth game in 10 that La Viola had proved profitable for Over 2.5 Goals backers and Vincenzo Montella’s men have been good for goal-hungry punters this season.
On the road, the Tuscans have scored in 14 of their 18 away league fixtures but kept just three shutouts of their own. Unsurprisingly, they also feature high on the BTTS table with 11/18 (61%) of their matches away from Florence seeing goals at both ends.
If we put the two teams’ home and away Both Teams To Score records together and find the average, we should have a 67% expectancy for BTTS to bank again. If we put that percentage expectancy into odds, we’d be looking at around a 1/2 shot on Sunday; it makes Boylesports’ 7/10 big value. But be quick!
Palermo v Fiorentina – Both Teams To Score (7/10 Boylesports)
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