Premier League Tips | 3rd March 2015

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AS well as the live game, there are two other Premier League matches taking place on Tuesday. Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) takes a look at the odds.

Hull v Sunderland | Tuesday 19:45

If you click on that live game link above, you’ll notice I’m quite down on goals in the Aston Villa v West Brom game. Well, it’s a similar story in this Hull v Sunderland game.

It’s hard to get excited about this match. 15th v 16th, with just one point separating the sides. Both sides have been disappointing this season. Hull’s early Europa League exit set the tone for the rest of their campaign, while Sunderland have been a case study in dire mediocrity this season.

These sides have picked up 10 wins in 54 collective Premier League matches in 2014/15 and rank very low on goals. Sunderland, with just 22 to their name, have only awful Aston Villa below them in the goalscoring charts.

As someone who was fairly positive about these sides at the start of the season, I’ve been enormously underwhelmed by their meek performances. I’ll back Under 2 Goals on the Asian Handicap Goal Line at 15/14 with 888 Sport.

Southampton v Crystal Palace | Tuesday 19:45

Southampton have been incredibly short in the betting all season. Ronald Koeman’s side have had a great campaign, but I was never lured into backing them at the likes of 2/5, 4/9 and 1/2 at home to bottom half sides. My loss maybe. But after just one win in their last five league matches, you won’t find those kind of odds kicking about any more.

The Saints are best price 3/4 with Sportingbet to win here and that looks fair. Saturday’s defeat to West Brom may have been (partly) caused by Koeman’s decision to play a new formation.

Naturally, there’s a lot of optimism for Crystal Palace at the moment and that’s entirely justified. Since Alan Pardew arrived at the very start of 2015 he’s won six of his ten matches in charge and look free from relegation concerns.

I’m a big Pardew fan, but I might have to take them on here with the Saints being a backable price at home on Tuesday. Palace had a superb win on Saturday, but maybe that had more to do with the crumbling Allardyce-shaped empire of West Ham?

Saints games tend to be pretty tight affairs. Their last five matches have gone Under 2.5 Goals, and that bet has paid out in 10 of their last 12 games. Their last four wins have all come by the odd goal and that’s the road I’ll travel down here.

With Southampton having home advantage, and let’s face it being a better team, I expect them to snatch a narrow win here. I’ll back them to win by exactly one goal at 13/5 with BetVictor.

Best Bets

Hull v Sunderland – Under 2 Goals Asian Handicap Goal Line (15/14 888 Sport)

Southampton v Crystal Palace – Southampton to win by exactly one goal (13/5 BetVictor)

Your View?

Is Chris underestimating Crystal Palace? Do you reckon we’ll see more goals at the KC Stadium?

Let us know in the comments box below.

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Chris first got interested in betting back in 2000 when he began working in betting shops throughout Scotland. He has remained in the industry ever since, specialising in marketing and PR roles. Outside of betting, his interests are listening to Blur and following Queen Of The South.

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