MANCHESTER CITY host Olympiacos on Wednesday in the Champions League. Daniel McCulloch (@DMcCulloch1984) shares his favourite fancies.
Olympiacos vs Manchester City | Wednesday 25th November 2020, 17:55 | BT Sport
Who would have thought that after eight games of the Premier League season, Manchester City would have scored just 10 goals, have a negative goal difference and find themselves languishing in 13th place?
The answer is obviously not many and few – including myself – can surely believe that such a run will go on for much longer.
City were beaten by Tottenham at the weekend in typical Mourinho fashion, as despite having 22 shots to their opponents four and enjoying 67% of possession, The Citizens failed to find the net.
Indeed, despite having conceded more Premier League goals than they have scored themselves this season, Pep Guardiola’s side have had 60 more shots than their opponents. Expected Goals (xG) statistics suggest that they should have scored 2.4 more goals, so I am pretty sure that goals will start to flow for City soon (Sergio Aguero’s return to fitness may also boost that one).
City are resting Kevin De Bruyne for this game but they still possess the creative talents of Ferran Torres, Raheem Sterling and Ben Foden so I don’t think there will be any shortage of opportunities for Aguero on his likely return to the starting XI.
City comfortably despatched Olympiakos at The Etihad three weeks ago but the Greek side tend to be more competitive at home. They beat Marseille 1-0 in their only game at the Karaiskaki Stadium in this competition to date.
Moreover, last term they managed to score twice at home to both Bayern Munich and Tottenham. With this in mind, I think it is likely that they will find the net against City, but do expect Pep’s side to emerge victorious, which makes a City win and Over 2.5 Goals my best bet as it could well land even if the hosts fail to net. That is available at 7/8 with Betway.
Additionally, it is rare to see Aguero as big as 3/1 to score first when City are overwhelming favourites for victory, so I will also take the Boylesports offer there.
I did consider adding 2-1 and 3-1 scorelines in favour of City but I will keep it to just two bets today.
Best Bets
Olympiakos vs Manchester City – Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 Goals (7/8 Betway)
Olympiakos vs Manchester City – Sergio Aguero to score first (3/1 Boylesports)
