NFL nut Kyle Robins (@AhhYeahKyleYeah) shares his expert opinion on the best bets ahead of Sunday's Week 7 action.
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals | Sunday 25th October 2020, 17:00
The first bet sees us attack what should be a high-scoring affair, with the Browns heading to Cincinnati to take on Joe Burrow and the Bengals. After a 35-30 victory for the Browns in Week 2, it’s likely we see a score line to not dissimilar from that of which we saw a few weeks back. In that game the Browns absolutely dominated on the ground, shredding the Benglas D to the tune of 210 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns.
Whilst the Browns do have to deal with not having Nick Chubb available, who went for 124 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game, Kareem Hunt has been a reliable source of offence for some time, even before Chubb went down. He managed to add 86 rushing yards and 2 total touchdowns in that Week 2 match-up and his usage has only elevated since Chubb went down.
He put it somewhat of a dud last weekend in Pittsburgh, but we can write that off as the team was just horrible all round on offense. This is a much more favourable matchup against the Bengals, who have allowed 23 or more points in 5 straight games.
Given how prominent Hunt is in the offenses game plan, and lethal he can be in the red zone. The 3/1 with SkyBet for him to repeat what he did in week 2 is currently the best price around.
Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons | Sunday 25th October 2020, 17:00
The second bet of the weekend takes us to Atlanta, in what again should be another destination for points this Sunday. Detroit has scored no fewer than 21 points through 5 games this season, whilst Atlanta got back on track last week, dropping 40 points on a woeful Vikings D.
What plays more into each teams favour is that both their defensive units aren’t exactly stout. They’re two of the worst in the league, allowing on average 30.7 (Atlanta) and 28.6 (Detroit) points per game. So expect both offenses to flourish in this one.
With this in mind, the angle I’m looking to attack, for obvious reasons, is touchdown scorers. Given last week’s outbreak from the Lions back D’Andre Swift, he would be an obvious selection to carry that form into what looks a favourable match-up. However, I’m aiming a little further down the market on this one.
With the Falcons atrocious pass defence, Golladay should be in for a lorry load of targets, but I’m taking the Tight End T.J. Hockenson to get himself into the endzone for a third straight week.
Now whilst he hasn’t exactly seen an awful lot of involvement over the past 2 weeks, (4 receptions on 9 targets), two of those receptions have gone for touchdowns, as he looks a dominate force in the red zone and favourable target for Matt Stafford. Look for him to attack the 28th ranked Falcons whilst defending the Tight End position, and get into the end zone for a third straight week.
He is available at 7/4 with SkyBet, but if you pair him with Falcons back Todd Gurley, that price gets much more enticing. The Georgia product has re-ignited his career in his Hometown, totalling 5 touchdowns through 6 games, with 3 of those coming in each of his first 3 home games this season.
And now, facing off against a 32nd ranked run defence in Detroit, he couldn’t be in a much better position to keep his 100% home touchdown record streak continue.
Pair the two together at 4/1 with SkyBet and watch the touchdowns role in Atlanta.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos | Sunday 25th October 2020, 20:25
The late slate consists of a few interesting games, but none more so than the Chiefs heading to Mile High to take on a seemingly rejuvenated Denver Broncos outfit.
After a disappointing start to the season, Detroit went into New England last weekend and completely destroyed most people’s handicap bets, including my own. Whilst they didn’t score a touchdown, they managed to put up 18 points in Field Goals, whilst holding New England to just 12 points.
That was certainly a much-improved performance from a team that just allowed 28 points to the Jets, just a game earlier. Now, of course they did look a much-improved defensive unit last week, but that doesn’t stand for too much when facing Mahomes and the Chiefs.
My hope for this bet, is that this Broncos team can do just enough to contain Mahomes, and keep themselves competitive in the game. Offensively, they were not exactly great last week at finishing drives, but didn’t have much problem getting into scoring positions. It was just finishing them off.
I hope for that trend to continue this week, against a mid-ranked Chiefs defence. After a Field Goal scored in every quarter banked last Sunday in New England, take a chance again this weekend in what could be a field goal heavy game. Jump on the 9/2 with SkyBet and hope for another solid Denver defensive performance.
Best Bets
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals – Kareem Hunt to score a brace (3/1 SkyBet)
Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons – Todd Gurley and TJ Hockenson both to score a touchdown (4/1 SkyBet)
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos – Field Goal to be scored in Every Quarter (9/2 SkyBet)
