Danny Mercer (OneDannyMercer) has got his big book of stats out for the Monday night match between Everton and West Brom.
Everton v West Brom | Monday 20:00 | Sky Sports 1
13th place Everton host 15th in the table West Brom at Goodison Park on Monday night. A win for either would be give them a little breathing space from the relegation zone.
I'm a big fan of live-on-tv stats, and use them to frame my betting for games like this. Eight of the 12 live Monday night Premier League games this season have been Over 2.5 Goals with 39 goals registered in total. That's over three goals per game.
Both sides have featured in one Monday night game this season with four goals scored in each game. Everton beat QPR 3-1 last month, while West Brom drew 2-2 against Manchester United.
I think Everton's style lends itself to goals. They're open, they attack well and have players capable of finding the back of the net. At the other end of the pitch they're not the solid unit of last season and look vulnerable.
West Brom aren't prolific in front of goal but they do have players who can cause opponents problems in Saido Berahino, Victor Anichebe and Graham Dorrans while Stephane Sessegnon and Brown Ideye have pace to hurt Everton if on song.
Everton have played nine live league games this season and seven of them have seen Over 2.5 Goals backers rewarded. A total of 35 goals have been notched in these games, that's an average of 3.88 goals per game. Better than any other side in the league this season.
At home in front of the TV cameras there have been a flood of goals this season. Their 2-2 draw against Arsenal was followed by a 6-3 defeat to Chelsea and the 3-1 win over QPR. I'm hoping for something similar tonight.
I'm also going to get involved in the First Half Goals market and back Over 1.5 Goals. All three of their live-on-TV home matches in 2014/15 have witnessed three or more goals in the match.
Everton have a very tough set of fixtures coming up with Crystal Palace, Liverpool, Chelsea, Leicester and Arsenal waiting in the wings, so picking up three points here is vital for Roberto Martinez's side. West Brom have a similar schedule with Tottenham, Burnley, Swansea, Sunderland and Southampton coming up.
It's goals for me in this Monday night match. When these sides play in front of the cameras, goals tend to flow. I'm hoping that continues here.
Best Bets
Everton v West Brom – Over 1.5 First Half Goals (12/5 Coral)
Everton v West Brom – Over 2.5 Goals (21/20 Coral)
Everton v West Brom – Over 3.5 Goals (31/10 BetVictor)
