CHRIS Graham (@chrisgraham79) casts his eye over Monday's Euro 2016 games and picks out two bets.
Estonia v Switzerland | Monday 19:45 | Sky Interactive
It's been a decent campaign for Switzerland and they're already through to next year's championship after having finished second to England. An opening match defeat to the English was followed by a loss in Slovenia but bar losing at Wembley they've won every other match since.
On Monday they face a trip to Estonia and will be hoping for three more points. The Estonians lost 2-0 to England on Friday night and barring a miracle won't be able to finish inside the Top 3 of this group.
Yes Estonia have picked up 10 points in this group, with nine of them coming at home. Slovenia, Lithuania and San Marino have all been beaten there while England won just 1-0.
Despite these impressive stats I'm going to side with Switzerland on Monday with a goals bet. After overcoming those early difficulties Vladimir Petkovic's side have been smashing the goals in in this group.
They've notched 23 in their last seven matches and only the Wembley defeat to England was a disappointment. San Marino suffered 11 times in their two matches with the Swiss while Petkovic's men scored three at home against this nation in March.
Fresh from an emphatic 7-0 win over San Marino on Friday night I'm backing the Swiss to score Over 1.5 Goals here at odds of 20/23 with Coral.
Luxembourg v Slovakia | Monday 19:45
After winning their first six matches of the group it's incredible that Slovakia are still sweating on a qualification place. In truth though, Jan Kozak's side have hit the wall in recent months and face a nervy night here.
The Slovaks need to avoid a worse result in this game against Luxembourg as Ukraine achieve against Spain to grab the second qualifying spot. You would have to say the odds are stacked in their favour.
Luxembourg have picked up four points so far in this group and are one point better off than bottom side Macedonia. They beat Macedonia last month and also drew with Belarus in their opening fixture.
Spain and Ukraine found it easy in Luxembourg with 4-0 and 3-0 wins respectively but I just feel it could be an edgy night for Slovakia due to their recent poor form.
I'll back Luxembourg to maintain their decent-ish home form and keep Slovakia in check on Monday night. At 16/19 with BetVictor I'll support them with a 1.5 goal start.
Best Bets
Estonia v Switzerland – Switzerland to score Over 1.5 Goals (20/23 Coral)
Luxembourg v Slovakia – Luxembourg +1.5 Asian Handicap (16/19 BetVictor)
Get England At 3/1 To Beat Lithuania!
Not got a Paddy Power account? If not open an account and you'll be able to back England at 3/1.
Take the offer and email us at hello@welovebetting.co.uk and we'll offer you something extra.
