Dnipro v Napoli Tips | 14th May 2015 | ITV4

WHICH one of Dnipro and Napoli will qualify for the Europa League Final? Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) takes a look at the betting for us.

Dnipro v Napoli | Thursday 20:05 | ITV4

Imagine backing Napoli at 2/7 last week and watching them draw 1-1. To be honest I don't have much sympathy if you did as it was a woeful price and I was keen to highlight that last week.

I went for Napoli to win to nil last week and it was all going to plan until a late Yevhen Seleznyov equaliser for Dnipro. That goal might very well define the whole tie.

The Ukrainian side have been excellent at crushing the momentum of opponents in quite a few Europa League games this season and that's surely the role they'll fulfil here.

They limited Ajax in the Last 16 to just one 90 minute goal in the Amsterdam ArenA until extra time meant they had to push forward while in the Quarter-Finals Club Brugge couldn't even register a shot on target in the defining second leg. Bravo Dnipro!

With Myron Markevych's side capturing that crucial away goal last week, surely they'll look to sit deep and frustrate Napoli as much as possible on Thursday?

So are Napoli capable of breaching their rearguard? Oo er! Nah seriously it's a huge night for Rafael Benitez's side. They've scored in their last nine matches and have notched 24 in that period. That comes in at over 2.5 team goals per game – very impressive.

Dnipro though have conceded just 14 goals in their domestic league this season and boast clean sheets in four of their six knockout matches – that's also very impressive.

I'm on the hunt for big prices here and will get involved with Draw/Napoli in the Double Result market as I think it will take the Italian side a while to break down Dnipro. I'll also look at another scenario and back a 1-1 scoreline at 13/2 with Betway. It's rare for Napoli to keep a clean sheet and when required Dnipro can notch.