AN early Saturday punt for Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) as he tackles the A-League with a bookings bet.
Western Sydney Warriors v Sydney FC | Saturday 08:30 | BT Sport 2
If the build-up and hype ahead of this match is anything to go by then this derby could be the best yet.
A sell-out crowd and a raucous atmosphere is assured at Pirtek as these two sides of the Harbour City go to war in this epic – and potentially – season-defining clash.
While the Sky Blues have the better of the recent head-to-head clashes – unbeaten in the last five – the Wanderers may never get a better chance to put things right than Saturday night.
Wanderers are also boosted by the return of striker Brendon Santalab from injury, while Scott Neville will come straight into the starting 11 at right-back after serving a one-game ban.
In the past five meetings between these two teams the cards issued reads 7-7-5-6-8. That's an average of 6.6 per game. This season the hosts average 2.64 and their near neighbours 2.5. That implies 5.14 total cards could be expected.
However, this is a huge, table topping derby and so we can fairly expect a higher total than normal given the stats in the past five bruising encounters.
The referee is a favourite of mine, Strebre Delovski. He only averages 4.63 cards per game but that is misleading. Whenever I have seen him he has got the cards out a lot. Indeed, he has given two reds in his past three A-League matches.
It should be another all-action, blood and thunder Sydney derby given that both sides were in the top 3 at the start of the weekend's fixtures. With supportive stats between these two outfits recently I'm backing over 5.5 cards on Bet365's Asian line at an attractive looking 1.925.
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Western Sydney Warriors v Sydney FC – Over 5.5 Asian Cards (1.925 Bet365)
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