KING of the cards Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has found an angle to exploit in Sunday's early fixture between Serie A.
Udinese v Chievo | Sunday 11.30 | BT Sport 2
Chievo travel to Udinese on Sunday morning and it looks likely to be a lively affair from a cards perspective.
The hosts currently sit in sixth position in the fledgling table. The visitors from Verona have also made a solid start and occupy eighth.
Our old friend, Luca Pairetto, gets the whistle for this match and when he is around there tends to be cards.
You may recall he gave four yellows and a late red in the Palermo v Sassuolo game in August. And in 2015/16 he averaged 7.20 cards-per-game.
The last time Udinese and Chievo clashed back in April, two red cards were flashed in a drab 0-0 contest.
The past six meetings between these two teams have produced total card counts of 10-7-7-5-2-8 – that is an average of 6.50 cards-per-game. This season
Udinese have collected more yellow cards (10) than any other side in Serie A. They average 3.33 cards-per-game.
Chievo are averaging 2.00 cards-per-game so far. Therefore, 5.33 cards might be expected in this fixture.
Last term Chievo were the fourth most ill-disciplined outfit whilst Udinese were the sixth.
Surprisingly, Pairetto is yet to officiate the hosts. In limited career games covering Chievo he typically gives them 2.05 cards-per-game.
Udinese average a league low 38% possession this season and typically muster just 10.70 shots per-game. Chievo average only 9.30 shots per-game so a dogged battle looks likely.
With two pretty ill-disciplined clubs and a referee who does like to reach for his top pocket I'm keen to do the overs.
Bet365 are offering 8/11 on Over 5.5 cards whereas William Hill are a very short 4/9. However, 888 are offering 81/100 so, as the bigger price, that gets the call.
Best Bets
Udinese v Chievo – Over 5.5 Cards (81/100 888)