Arsenal v Chelsea Tips | 26th April 2015 | Sky Sports 1

IT'S the big match of the weekend. How does our man Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) see it going?

Arsenal v Chelsea | Sunday 16:00 | Sky Sports 1

I wonder if Sky will have the audacity to bill this as a title decider? Nah, surely that's too absurd for even them! For the avoidance of doubt, it's definitely not a decider, it's a side strolling to their first championship in five years up against opponents they always bully.

I had my eye on this fixture from a betting point of view for a while back actually. I was hoping Chelsea would drop points and Arsenal's excellent run of form would continue so we might get some plump prices on the Blues. Jose Mourinho's side didn't stick to their side of the bargain though although the odds are fair.

In situations and games like this my default position is to oppose Arsenal. To be fair it backfired earlier this season when I had my biggest bet of 2015 on Man City beating them in January. Looking back now, that seemed the start of City's decline.

As well all know Arsene Wenger has never beaten Mourinho in 12 attempts. That's 12. Not a coincidence, or a run of bad luck, that's a deep trend.

Being the horrible guy he is you can imagine the Portuguese is incredibly proud of that record. His disdain for Wenger has been voiced publicly on a number of occasions and he'll instruct his players to maintain that unbeaten run as much as they can.

As we saw last week against Manchester United, Mourinho is the master of crushing a game and avoiding defeat at all costs. I think there might be an element of that style on Sunday but I'm sure he'll fear Arsenal less than Louis Van Gaal's side.

But what about Arsenal's form? Yeah amazing, on a great run etc etc. But I'm not having it, I can't back them. Form book out the window and it now becomes a game of chess. Mourinho is the (grand) master of chess!

I'm going to back Chelsea +0.25 at 8/9 with BetVictor on the Asian Handicap. Half my stake goes on Chelsea +0, the other half on Chelsea +0.5.

The +0 side of the bet means if the Blues win I get a full payout, if they draw I get my stake back. The +0.5 part is simply Chelsea to avoid defeat. So as long as they do that, I'll make a profit. Any questions on the Asian Handicap? Just comment below or grab me on Twitter (@ChrisGraham79).

Best Bets

Arsenal v Chelsea – Chelsea +0.25 (8/9 BetVictor)

10/1 Arsenal or 14/1 Chelsea (Paddy Power)

This is getting a lot of heat! Enhanced prices on both sides for the big game on Sunday.

Just join up with Paddy Power to claim either price.