DANIEL MCCULLOCH (@DMcCulloch1984) shares his thoughts on Super Sunday's showdown from Old Trafford as Manchester United host Watford.
Manchester United v Watford | Saturday 23rd February 2020, 14:00
For much of this season, I have tried to oppose goals in Manchester United's games. A common approach has been to back the Both Teams To Score: No angle, but having seen them draw 1-1 when doing exactly that on Thursday night, I am going to take an alternative route when they entertain Watford on Sunday.
United have drawn 1-1 on five occasions this season and I wouldn't be at all surprised if they made it half a dozen against the Hornets. I do, however, struggle to see either side scoring two goals, so at a similar price to the BTTS – No option, I will take the 10/11 on Under 2.5 Goals at Unibet.
This has landed in 16 of United's 26 league games this season and five of Watford's 10 under Nigel Pearson.
Having gained 13 points from their first six games under Pearson's guidance – including a 2-0 victory over United – the Hertfordshire side have just two points from their last four matches, having lost two of them from winning positions.
A point here will be an excellent result for Watford and while I think Pearson will set them up to be a threat on the counter attack, he will not want to expose his fairly immobile backline to the pace United possess.
United have struggled to break teams down at home for most of the season, with Burnley and Crystal Palace recording victories at Old Trafford and Aston Villa also managing to earn a point.
Ultimately, I think Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side may win this encounter but I don't think it will be pretty.
Between them, Solskjaer and Pearson have seen 21 of their 36 league matches see two goals or fewer scored and that strike rate – 58% – suggests that the 10/11 with Unibet is good value so that is where my money is heading.
Best BetsManchester United v Watford – Under 2.5 Goals (10/11 Unibet)
