WILL DYER’S (@W2Dyer) unique match ratings are back for the opening round of 2016 fixtures.
Will Dyer's Match Ratings
A New Year treat for you, WLB folk. Will Dyer (@W2Dyer), an esteemed member of the WLB stable, has been active on Twitter recently, promoting his unique match ratings and best Premier League bets.
We asked Will if didn't mind sharing the secrets to those match ratings and he's kindly agreed. He's also given us a rundown on his latest ratings and best bets for the next round of the Premier League – what a nice guy.
The numbers after each club's name relates to Will's unique match rating and a full explanation and beginners guide to the system can be found right here on WLB. If you need more help or want to know a little more science behind the system, Will's happy to help on Twitter (@W2Dyer).
West Ham United (127/190) v Liverpool (118/190)
Liverpool have been far from scintillating in their last few games whilst West Ham got a much needed win to end the drought and put an end to the worries of dour football returning.
A draw looks a fair result given West Ham are at home and unbeaten in six and have recorded the joint most draws in the league with 8 in 19 games.
Best Bet
West Ham United v Liverpool – Draw (5/2 Bet365)
Arsenal (118/190) v Newcastle United (105/190)
Newcastle are playing better and were unlucky with Karl Darlow’s mistake at the Hawthorns but winning at the Emirates looks beyond them at the minute.
Arsenal are still capable of throwing in a bad game and weren’t overly convincing against the Cherries but they get the nod here. Arsenal to win.
Best Bet
Arsenal v Newcastle United – Arsenal to win (3/10 Paddy Power)
Leicester City (143/190) v AFC Bournemouth (130/190)
Ok so the Foxes didn’t score against Liverpool or Man City but they limited the opposition to just one goal across those games and played in a less frantic manner that had many pundits confident they’ll stay in the top four.
Bournemouth have had a good season but and new signing Juan Iturbe is an exciting prospect but cannot play yet. This is 2nd v 16th so Even money on a home win is really quite unbelievable.
Best Bet
Leicester City v Bournemouth – Leicester to win (Evens Skybet)
Manchester United (110/190) v Swansea City (119/190)
United face their bogey team of the post-Sir Alex era. They were the much better team against Chelsea but once again failed to find the net and at heavy odds-on are not to be trusted.
Swansea are unbeaten in three under Alan Curtis. Expect this to be a low scoring game and the spoils being shared looks good value given that these are another two teams drawing a lot.
Best Bet
Manchester United v Swansea – Draw (16/5 Bet365)
Norwich City (127/190) v Southampton (119/190)
Norwich are tricky customers at Carrow Road and seem to get the better of the teams around them when playing host.
Southampton were mightily impressive against Arsenal but that remains their only win in eight in all competitions so their favouritism here is quite unjust.
Best Bet
Norwich City v Southampton – Draw (12/5 Bet365)
Sunderland (108/190) v Aston Villa (115/190)
A hugely important battle between the bottom two at the Stadium of Light. Big Sam’s good start has disintegrated and Aston Villa are certainly playing the better football of the two right now.
Villa though continue to concede the first goal of the game which makes finding that first win under Remi Garde a tough task.
Best Bet
Sunderland v Aston Villa – Draw (9/4 Bet365)
West Bromwich Albion (110/190) v Stoke City (126/190)
Stoke are one of the form sides in the Premier League with a W8 D2 L3 record in their last 13 games. Those defeats have come to an impressive Watford team, at Sunderland when they lost Ryan Shawcross to a red card just after half time and at home to Palace in a game they completely dominated with 26 shots at goal. The Potters attack is the best it's ever been.
West Brom’s long ball and set piece game shouldn’t be as worrying for Stoke as it is for other sides. If I did NAPs this would be mine in the Premier League this weekend. I’m completely overlooking the Pulis factor.
Best Bet
West Brom v Stoke – Stoke City to win (7/4 Bet365)
Watford (146/190) v Manchester City (132/190)
Man City have struggled on their travels for a good while now. No win in six away league games dating back to September makes quotes of 8/11 on them winning at Vicarage Road wholly unappealing.
Watford continue to impress. The Hornets were hugely unlucky to lose to Spurs despite having 10 men for over half an hour and look a big price.
Best Bet
Watford v Manchester City – Watford to win (9/2 BetVictor)
Crystal Palace (131/190) v Chelsea (97/190)
Chelsea are unbeaten under Guus Hiddink but were very lucky to escape Old Trafford with a point. Palace have won nine games to Chelsea’s five this season and therefore reside in the Top 5.
Palace have already beaten the Blues once this season and with just one defeat in their last nine league games this game is certainly being priced on reputation alone.
Best Bet
Crystal Palace v Chelsea – Crystal Palace to win (3/1 Bet365)
Everton (129/190) v Tottenham Hotspur (137/190)
We have a really interesting game lined up here. Both teams have been prolific going forward and can call on reliable strikers. The bookies make Spurs the marginal favourites which does look fair.
Everton should start to learn from their mistakes at the back with such a youthful defence. Both teams have drawn eight of their 19 fixtures thus far so this looks too close to call.
Best Bet
Everton v Tottenham – Draw (13/5 BetVictor)
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