MERCURIAL NFL aficionado Tom Selwyn (@Tom_Selwyn) is back in the building with his expert take on Monday night’s action.
New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins | Tuesday 01.30 | Sky Sports 1
I’m not quite sure why this is a primetime game given the form of both the Giants and the Dolphins (combined 10-14 record), but we’re hopefully in for an entertaining game given that both these defences rank in the bottom six of the league.
Giants WR Odell Beckham certainly brings the entertainment every week, having gone over 100 yards in five straight games.
But rather than Beckham, It’s a WR for the Dolphins I’ll be focussing on – rookie DeVante Parker. He’s been quietly good the last couple weeks and I think he’s way over-priced to score in this one. An anytime TD for Parker is my bet at 9/4 with Bet365.
Parker has been out injured for most of his rookie season but since coming back into the line-up two weeks ago he’s had himself a very solid couple of games. He put up 143 yards on seven catches in matches against the Jets and Ravens, including a TD in each of them.
He now gets to face a Giants defence that is last in the league for pass defence and are on pace for a historically bad season. They have given up 22 pass TDs already this season (tied for 11th in the league) and are currently giving up 314.5 yards a game. If they maintain that awful pace they would give up a whopping 5,032 on the season – the worst ever was the Packers in 2011 with 4,796 yards allowed.
With fellow WR Rishard Matthews still out, Parker should continue to get a sizable number of targets. This, combined with a terrible Giants defence should allow Parker to continue his upward trajectory – and hopefully maintain his TD streak.
Best Bets
New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins – DeVante Parker to score a touchdown (9/4 Bet365)
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