Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles: Sproles stands out on Monday night

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NFL boff Tom Selwyn (@Tom_Selwyn) returns to cover Monday Night Football as the Eagles welcome the Packers.

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles | Tuesday 01:30 | Sky Sports 1

This was a really tough match-up to find angle on! I think this has been the longest I’ve spent looking at a game all season…

On the one hand, you’ve got the Eagles who have been dominant at home, giving up a miniscule 9.5 points per-game there this season.

So you’d think Packers going Under or Unders in general would be a play, but they face a Green Bay offense that averages 24.7 points per-game and has not been the problem during their losing streak.

What has been the problem is the Packers’ defence that has given up 420.8 yards per-game and allowed opposing QBs a 105.5 rating during the four games in a row they’ve lost.

The problem is that the Eagles just don’t have the weapons on the outside to take advantage of this. Jordan Matthews is about it.

I was going to disregard the running game as the Packers still possess a decent run defence (sixth in the league), but then I remembered Eagles RB Ryan Mathews is out for this game and saw an incredibly favourable line for fellow RB Darren Sproles.

I have to back Sproles to go over 60.5 rushing and receiving yards (10/11 William Hill).

That seems an incredibly low line for a talented RB that is adept at both running and catching the ball when he’s likely to now be the starter in this one.

Even with Mathews in the line-up, Sproles is productive – he’s gone over that total in five games this season.

With the extra touches he’s likely to get against a Packers defence that has suffered far too many injuries, I think Sproles clears the line on Monday night.

Best Bets

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles – Darren Sproles to have Over 50.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (5/6 Paddy Powerl)

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Tom got into betting after taking a marketing role at Sportingbet in 2009. He's since moved on to IT, but has remained within the industry. His passion in both betting and watching is the NFL, but also follows many other sports. Other interests include rock music, following the Patriots and being confused as to which Nottingham Forest team will show up each week.

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