Europa League: Viola the vehicle to early Thursday value

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IN-FORM Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) picks out his favourite fancies from Thursday’s early Europa League contests.

Qabala v Anderlecht | Thursday 16:00

Qabala

  • Qabala have scored in 18/20 home games.
  • Qabala have scored in 7/8 home Europa League games including against Dortmund, Lille, Mainz and Sainte-Etienne.
  • Qabala have seen 4/6 Europa League home games feature Both Teams To Score this season.
  • Qabala have kept only 2/8 home Europa League clean sheets.
  • Qabala have had an average expected goals rate of 3.05 from across their home Europa League games against Mainz and Sainte-Etienne this season.

Anderlecht

  • Anderlecht have scored in 23/24 games this season – 15/24 featured Both Teams To Score.
  • Anderlecht have seen Both Teams To Score bank in 6/7 matches.
  • Anderlecht scored in 6/6 Europa League games this season, 4/6 seeing Both Teams To Score.
  • Anderlecht have seen 8/12 away games feature Both Teams To Score this season.
  • Anderlecht have created 9 major goalscoring opportunities across their 4 Europa League fixtures, with an average of 9.5 shots from inside the opposition penalty box.
  • Anderlecht have had an average expected goals rate of 3.55 from across their away Europa League games against Mainz and Sainte-Etienne this season.

Back Both Teams To Score (21/20 188BET)

Fiorentina v PAOK Saloniki | Thursday 18:00

Fiorentina

  • Fiorentina have W8-D6-L1 in their last 15 games including W5-D2-L0 in their past 7.
  • Fiorentina have scored 11 goals in 3/3 Europa League wins since a 0-0 draw in PAOK.
  • Fiorentina have W8-D9-L1 at home since January, only losing to Juventus.
  • Fiorentina are averaging 7 shots-on-target per-game in the Europa League – a Europa League high – and almost 8 attempts from inside the opposition penalty box.
  • Fiorentina don’t play against until Monday so the need to rest and rotate isn’t quite as pressing with top spot in the group still up for grabs.

PAOK Saloniki

  • PAOK haven’t played since 6th November due to the Greek Super League suspension.
  • PAOK have lost 4/6 games including back –to-back defeats to Qarabag in the Europa League.
  • PAOK have W0-D1-L3 in their last 4 away matches.
  • PAOK have failed to score in 6/12 games, including 3/4 away games.
  • PAOK have an average expected goals rate of 0.66 from their first 4 Europa League games, averaging only 3 shots from inside the opposition penalty box.
  • PAOK are without first-choice centre-back and Greek international Georgios Tzavellas.

Back Fiorentina to win (3/4 William Hill)

Best Bets

Qabala v Anderlecht – Both Teams To Score (21/20 188BET)

Fiorentina v PAOK Saloniki – Fiorentina to win (3/4 William Hill)

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About Author

Profile photo of Mark O'Haire

After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production. With a huge passion for stats, the Football League and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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