THE hugely popular Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) returns with two Saturday bookings points.
Frosinone v Atalanta | Saturday 17:00 | BT Sport 1
I’ll kick off with some Serie A action as Atalanta travel to Frosinone.
The hosts average 2.73 cards-per-game and the visitors a chunky 3.42 – that implies 6.15 cards might be expected.
The real star of the show though is referee Paolo Valeri. I mentioned in my midweek column that he had given 6+ cards in 8/9 games. Well after Napoli v Inter Milan you can make that 9/10. This guy doesn’t mess about.
At the time of writing a lot of firms still hadn’t priced this game up. Bet365 are going over 6.5 cards at 1.75 on the Asian line and that gets my recommendation.
Granada v Getafe | Saturday 19:30 | Sky Sports 3
A dour looking fixture on paper but Granada hosting Getafe has plenty of promise from a cards perspective.
Their past five encounters read 8-7-7-11-8 in the total cards stakes. A 100% record over this week’s line of 5.5 cards.
The reason for the low line is referee Ricardo Burgos who averages 5.33 cards-per-game.
Granada typically collect 3.58 and Getafe 3.37 cards-per-game – that suggests 6.95 cards might be expected.
The hosts are struggling badly and will surely target this fixture as a winnable one. I like the look of over 5.5 cards with Bet365 at 4/5.
Frosinone v Atalanta – Over 6.5 Asian Cards (1.75 Bet365)
Granada v Getafe – Over 5.5 Cards (4/5 Bet365)
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