Man City v Aston Villa Tips | 25th April 2015 | Sky Sports 1


AFTER their sensational FA Cup Semi-Final win last weekend, how will Aston Villa perform here against Man City? Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) takes a look at the odds for us.

Man City v Aston Villa | Saturday 17:30 | Sky Sports 1

So this game pitches a side gasping and praying for the end of the season up against an outfit still high as a kite (hey, leave Jack Grealish out of this – WLB editor) after a famous Wembley win.

It’s the latter side (Aston Villa) that fascinate me here. Psychology plays a big part in my thinking when it comes to betting and I’m intrigued as to how they’ll approach this game.

Relegation would utterly destroy any sense of triumph this season if that occurred the week before the Cup Final, but you’d have to say that’s looking more and more unlikely with the ineptitude of many sides in that area.

Villa have averaged 1.03 points per game (PPG) this season so far. I’d like to think that might shoot up or down with five games left and a Cup Final on their mind.

The pessimists amongst you can look to Hull last season. Steve Bruce’s season were averaging 1.09 PPG before they reached the Cup Final. Following their semi-final win over Sheffield United that dropped to 0.20. Getting worried Villa fans?

The flip side of course is that Villa grow in spirit and confidence after their brilliant win and that pushes them towards a jump in their PPG. With eternal optimist Tim Sherwood in charge that’s a distinct possibility.

So when the first opportunity to test either theory comes when Villa are as big as 13/1 you simply have to back the positive angle.

On Sunday they face Man City and I won’t bore you talking about them, we know what they’re all about. A cluster of excellent players always capable of dropping a clanger. That clanger may be dropped on Saturday.

So, let’s test out this FA Cup Final theory. Can we expect a sharp rise or fall from the current 1.09 PPG of Villa? Let’s hope so. So with them at massive odds this weekend let’s back the positive side of the theory and back them to win here and avoid defeat.

Best Bets

Man City v Aston Villa – Aston Villa to win (13/1 Boylesports)

Man City v Aston Villa – Aston Villa +0.5 (17/5 888 Sport)

4/1 Man City to beat Aston Villa

Easy win for Man City last Sunday eh?

Now you can back them at 4/1 to beat an Aston Villa side still hungover from reaching the Cup Final.


Back our No-Lose NAP & Get your money back if it DOESN’T win!

There are fewer things Chris Graham enjoys more than the Cheltenham Festival and he’s confidently put up Unowhatimeanharry in the Stayers Hurdle at 3.30.

We’re so confident Chris has again made the right call that we’re offering you the opportunity to pocket a risk-free, no-lose NAP. Just open an account with our Cheltenham partners 10BET via any of the 10BET links on this page.

  • Back Unowhatimeanharry (min £10 stake).
  • If it wins, you’ll pocket a tidy sum. If the bet loses, we’ll cover the cost up to £10.
  • After you open your account email us at [email protected] with your username and stake details of your bet.

> So click here to open your 10Bet account today.

Full T&Cs can be found here.

Current Offers



Get treble the odds on your first bet when you sign-up at 888Sport10/10


Claim up to £200 in bonuses when you join Bet36510/10


Claim a £50 Welcome Bonus when you join Ladbrokes. Use code 'F50'10/10

About Author

Profile photo of Chris Graham

Chris first got interested in betting back in 2000 when he began working in betting shops throughout Scotland. He has remained in the industry ever since, specialising in marketing and PR roles. Outside of betting, his interests are listening to Blur and following Queen Of The South.

Leave A Reply