Premier League Tips | 14th-15th March 2015

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AFTER a 31/1 treble the last time he tackled the Premier League, Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) returns full of hope this weekend.

Chelsea v Southampton | Sunday 13:30 | Sky Sports 1

As you could tell during Friday’s press conference, Jose Mourinho is seething after his team’s Champions League exit on Wednesday night. I’m expecting them to kick back here on Sunday against a Southampton side beginning to drift out the Top 4 picture.

For starters, Chelsea have been very strong at home in the league this season with 11 wins accrued in a 13 match unbeaten Stamford Bridge run. They also don’t concede many goals at home – just five all season in the Premier League.

Southampton have found it tough over the last seven weeks. They’ve lost four of their last seven games, succumbing to Crystal Palace, West Brom, Swansea and Liverpool and you just get the feeling that the toil of this season might just be catching up with them.

Goals have also been hard to find for the club too, with just one scored in their last four matches. Indeed they’ve fired blanks in four of their last six games.

With Chelsea’s ruthless approach at Stamford Bridge I’m expecting them to struggle to notch on Sunday. The Blues have won to nil in nine of their 13 home league games and I’ll back that to occur again at 8/5 with BetVictor.

Crystal Palace v QPR | Saturday 12.45 | BT Sport 1

After a ferocious four days at Cheltenham, it’s taken me a bit of time to get my head back into football mode, so if I get zero out of three you know why! Anyway, enough of that negativity…

I don’t think we’ll see much negativity in this match at Selhurst Park on Saturday. As usual QPR look too big a price (4/1 with BetVictor) and I fancy them to play a decent part in this match.

Granted, on paper, their form looks a bit iffy. Eight defeats in their last nine matches is awful, but since Chris Ramsey took charge they’ve improved. One goal defeats to Arsenal and Tottenham are nothing to be ashamed of and he’s put to bed their winless away run. The signs look more positive.

With just nine games left after this they need to start picking up points and I expect them to at least score on Saturday at Selhurst Park. They’ve scored in their last four games and managed a goal against both North London sides.

Crystal Palace will expect a win here, but with them sitting pretty in 12th place the pressure will be less intense for them. Alan Pardew has now been in charge for 11 matches and his side have scored in nine of them, including games against Liverpool, Arsenal and Tottenham.

The Both Teams To Score bet has paid out in four of their last five matches, while QPR have kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 matches. I’m backing BTTS at Evens with Betway.

Arsenal v West Ham | Saturday 15:00

Arsenal’s win at Old Trafford on Monday night was a biggie, and to be honest, not one I expected. You could say it was the biggest win of their season so there must be a swagger about the place just now.

10th place West Ham turn up to the Emirates on Saturday but I don’t fancy their chances. The West Ham season (and perhaps Sam Allardyce’s reign) looks like it’s drifting into a sea of nothingness.

In fact the first use this season of that awful awful phrase – they’re on the beach might just be called for! No win in six games and just one win in their last 11 Premier League games, this side look ripe for taking on. And I will on Saturday.

Arsenal have lost just one home league game in the last 18 months and have now won seven home games in a row in the league. Four of those seven wins were by more than one goal and that’s the avenue I’m taking on Saturday.

Put those sexy Arsenal stats alongside the fact that West Ham haven’t won away in the league since early-December and there’s further reasons to get behind the bet. It’s Arsenal -1 for me at a tasty 11/10 with Sportingbet.

Best Bets

Crystal Palace v QPR – Both Teams To Score (Evens Betway)

Arsenal v West Ham – Arsenal -1 (11/10 Sportingbet)

Chelsea v Southampton – Chelsea win to nil (8/5 BetVictor)

Chelsea 6/1 To Beat Southampton

Not got a Coral account? Here’s a nice incentive…

They’re going 6/1 on Chelsea to beat Southampton and will give you a free bet if they fail. Tempted?

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Profile photo of Chris Graham

Chris first got interested in betting back in 2000 when he began working in betting shops throughout Scotland. He has remained in the industry ever since, specialising in marketing and PR roles. Outside of betting, his interests are listening to Blur and following Queen Of The South.

2 Comments

  1. Burnley v Man City
    All about goals in this one there has been 45 goals scored in the last nine fixtures between these two last 7 have gone over 2.5,last 4 reading 2-2,1-3,3-3 and 2-4 both wins away wins for City.
    Burnley are without a win last 7 losing 5 but have scored away to Chelsea and Man utd
    in recent games,have also netted in both games against spurs in FA cup and got a 2-2 draw away to City in the lg.
    City have only won three of their last eight lg games and have only won one of their last four away matches but they have lost just three of their last 27 Premier League away games (W17 D7 L3. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five away fixtures.
    Advise a punt on the Btts and over 2.5 goals market in this one @ 11/10 and
    City to win and Btts @ 11/5.

    Sunderland v Aston villa
    Fancy villa to sneak a win here @ 5/2 and for the brave probably by a single goal @ 19/5.
    Villa have a mini revival winning last 2 cup and lg whilst Sunderland have won just 2 of last 18 and scored just 2 home goals in lg at home 2015 and drawn a blank in 4/5 lg games winning just once at home since 4th October.
    Sunderland havent beat Villa in last 8 meetings Villa winning 3 from last 5 meetings.
    Villa have won 1-0 on last to visits and there has been just 1 total goal scored in last 3 meetings.
    Advise a punt on:
    Villa to win @ 5/2
    Btts No @ 4/5
    Villa draw no bet @ 7/5
    Villa to win 1-0,2-0 or 2-1 @ 11/4 Skybet

    Arsenal to win and Btts @ 21/10
    Arsenal have won their last four games.
    They have scored two goals in each of their last four matches,but
    have only kept one clean sheet from their previous five fixtures.
    The gunners have won 11 of previous 13 meetings losing none and
    BTTS-Yes / Over 2.5 Goals has been reached on each of the previous five encounters between the two sides.
    Hammers are without a win in last 6, everythin points to a home win but value must be taken in backing Arsenal to win and Btts at a very decent 21/10 {last night}.Stats/form and previous meetings suggests it.

    • Profile photo of Chris Graham

      Cheers Sean. Some really good points there and always happy to hear your thoughts on here. I’ve got a lot of love for the City win and Both Teams To Score bet. Burnley have been decent opposition at home this season and we know City score goals. My only fear would be this tough season might be starting to take it’s toll on Sean Dyche’s side. His line-up has been fairly static throughout the campaign and they’ll need a lot of character to pick up wins over the next couple of months. Good luck with all your bets this weekend. Cheers.

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