Chelsea v Maribor | 21st October 2014 | ITV 1

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CHELSEA take on Slovenian side Maribor on Tuesday night and Chris Graham (@chrisgraham79) reckons the away side are being underrated.

Chelsea v Maribor | 21st October 19:45 | ITV1

Like their English counterparts Manchester City, Chelsea look too short in the betting in their Matchday 3 Champions League match. They face Slovenian side Maribor and are rightly a short price to win. But with their opponents as big as 22/1 surely there’s a way to side with them to make some cash?

The key for me is the absence of Diego Costa. We all know how prolific he’s been for Chelsea this season and taking him out the team weakens the ability of the Blues to rack up a big scoreline. The London side also have a huge match against Manchester United on Sunday, and manager Jose Mourinho will be eager to get one over on his old boss Louis Van Gaal. Chelsea won’t be at 100% tonight.

Maribor are being dismissed as complete rags in this tie. Yet the Slovenians are one of the most progressive sides in Europe and enter this tie protecting an unbeaten run of eight in this season’s Champions League competition. They also gave eventual winners Sevilla a hell of a fright in last season’s Europa League knockout rounds and have drawn against Schalke and Sporting Lisbon earlier in this tournament.

The betting is set up for a goal-laden Chelsea win and that’s not how I see it. I think the Blues will win, but a 1-0 or 2-0 win would be my more likely picks. Therefore I’m drawn to the Total Goals markets and searching for Unders bets. I was amazed to see Under 3.5 Goals priced at 3/4 this morning, but that’s already been backed in in the last couple of hours. So instead, it’s Under 2.5 for me at a tasty 7/4 with Sportingbet. I’m expecting a Chelsea side on the bridle tonight, therefore it’s Unders.

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Chelsea v Maribor – Under 2.5 Goals (7/4 Sportingbet)

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Chris first got interested in betting back in 2000 when he began working in betting shops throughout Scotland. He has remained in the industry ever since, specialising in marketing and PR roles. Outside of betting, his interests are listening to Blur and following Queen Of The South.

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