STATS expert Stats Bet (@statsbet) takes an analytical look at the numbers, pinpointing his favourite First Goalscorer fancy of the weekend.
PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard | Saturday 7th December 2019, 18:45
With one win in their last 10 matches in all competitions, I am sure PSV Eindhoven will be happy with a visit from Fortuna Sittard this weekend. The guests sit bottom of the away Eredivise table, leaking 25 goals in seven matches, having already been thumped by two of the top three – 4-0 at AZ and 5-0 at Ajax – and so it could be another very tough evening for the Fortunezen boys.
Mark Van Bommel's hosts sit 13 points off leaders Ajax and seven adrift of the second Champions League qualifying spot so will be keen get back to winning ways in front of their fans. PSV have scored 18 goals in seven matches at the Philips Stadion with 50% of those goals coming from star striker Donyell Malen.
The 20-year-old front man has notched 16 in 22 across all competitions, averaging a goal every 1.40 games, and sits second in the Eredivisie goalscoring charts with 10 from 12, firing in 4.10 shots per-game – only Hakim Ziyech of Ajax has more..
With the market giving PSV an xG of 3.25, we should be seeing young talisman back on the scoreboard. Bet365 go 3/1 for Malen in the First Goalscorer market and backing him each-way would get our money back if he scores at anytime – this looks a steal playing against the worst away defence in the division.
PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard – Donyell Malen to score first (3/1 each-way Bet365)