TWO winners for Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) at the weekend, now his favourite referee is in action on Monday.
Leganes v Osasuna | Monday 19:45 | Sky Sports 2
Senor Moonpig returns to action on Monday as struggling Osasuna travel to Leganes. After the weekend results, the hosts are in 16th place in the table with the visitors from Pamplona in 19th.
Regular readers of this column will know I am very fond of Ignacio Villanueva as he is usually good for cards hence his nickname of Senor Moonpig.
This season he has given cards of 4-7-6-7-5-8 at an average of 6.16 per match. There is little to go on in terms of his career stats as he has never officiated Leganes and averages 2.3 cards to Osasuna but this is only over a small sample size.
The two most recent encounters between these clubs came in the Spanish second division and had cards points of 55 and 50. This term, the hosts average 3.09 total cards per match and the visitors exactly three per game. That suggests that 6.09 cards could be expected in this fixture.
Over 5.5 cards is 8/13 with Bet365 and that offers little value. Given Moonpig's season average is 6.16 cards per game and the combined average of both teams is 6.09 then the 11/4 offered by SkyBet for '55-75′ bookings points makes plenty of appeal. This is probably not a game to stake big on but based on the trends the Sky Bet line offers clear value.
Leganes v Osasuna – Between 55-75 Bookings Points (11/4 Skybet)