Stats Value – Entertainment unlikely in Sunday’s Porto Alegre encounter

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OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here’s Sunday’s value selections.

Gremio v Ceara | Sunday 23rd September 2018, 15:00

Gremio have seen 9/13 (69%) of their home league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 2.15 goals per-game.

Ceara have seen 10/12 (83%) of their away league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 1.50 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have seen an average of just 1.83 goals per-game in their respective home/away matches and paid out in the Under 2.5 Goals column in 19/25 (76%) outings, a percentage success rate that would imply odds around 1/3.

We can back Under 2.25 Goals at 7/10 with Marathon in Brazil on Sunday.

Hamarkameratene v Levanger | Sunday 23rd September 2018, 17:00

Hamarkameratene have seen 7/11 (64%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 2.91 goals per-game.

Levanger have seen 9/12 (75%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 3.58 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have seen an average of just 3.25 goals per-game in their respective home/away matches and paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 16/23 (70%) outings, a percentage success rate that would imply odds around 4/9.

We can back Over 2.5 Goals at 4/6 with Marathon in Norway on Sunday.

Best Bets

Gremio v Ceara – Under 2.25 Goals (7/10 Marathon)

Hamarkameratene v Levanger – Over 2.5 Goals (4/6 Marathon)

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