PREMIER LEAGUE fanatic Ross Casey (@Rosscasey24) shares his betting thoughts on the Saturday evening fixture between Brighton and Tottenham at the Amex.
Brighton v Tottenham | Saturday 22nd September 2018, 17:30 | BT Sport
Brighton are coming off the back of a last-gasp draw at Southampton heading into this one, leaving them on five points from five games so far this season, whilst Spurs have now lost three matches in a row, including their Champions League defeat in midweek.
Despite that fact, Tottenham have been made odds-on favourites to bounce back with a victory here with a best price of 4/5, with Brighton available at 41/10 with perennial great odds makers-Marathon.
It may well be worth noting that this match ended in a 1-1 draw last season and that is available at 3/1 with a multitude of bookies.
The Seagulls were very reliant on their home form last season – they lost just four times at the Amex in 2017/18 and picked up just two victories on their travels.
This term, it looks like being more of the same for Brighton fans to endure, with four points from two games on home soil (with five goals scored), whilst away they have picked up one point from a possible nine, and failed to score in two of those three matches.
So anytime that this Albion side play at home, they should not be underestimated – especially as they held Spurs to a draw here last season and Tottenham are on a bad run of results.
With Michel Vorm in goal, Spurs have conceded six goals in three games and the visitors are conceding plenty of goals from set-plays. So with the Seagulls scoring for fun at home – I think they are in with a chance, so I would be looking towards the goalscorer and Both Teams To Score markets.
Some people are being a bit hysterical calling what Spurs are currently going through as a crisis, but the stadium debacle, fatigue, injury, drink-driving and a lack of new players has added up to mean a bit of wobbly start for them. Add in an increasingly frantic Mauricio Pochettino and the media are having a bit of a field day.
It must be said that Tottenham aren’t playing anywhere near their best this season, with their play much slower and predictable. However, it cannot be denied that they are capable of much better and I am sure at some point soon we will see that.
Scoring goals certainly isn’t a problem for Tottenham – they have netted in all six of their matches so far this season and with odds of 4/5 (Betfair) available on Both Teams To Score, I will be taking that as both of Brighton’s league home games have produced at least four goals.
The betting angle
I have already advised the Both Teams To Score bet, but I will also be looking at Brighton’s attack here for a play in the goalscorer markets.
Glenn Murray is a big, strong, physical player and with Spurs struggling from crosses as well as his penalty taking abilities, I like his price too at 13/5 (Bet365).
The former Bournemouth man has scored four times already this season, including three in two at home in the Premier League.