Stats: Home birds Hoffe can take down Royal Blues

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STATS expert Stats Bet (@statsbet) takes an analytical look at Saturday’s Bundesliga action, pinpointing the value bets according to the trends.

Hoffenheim v Schalke | Saturday 23rd September 2017, 14:30

Hoffenheim entertain Schalke at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena and I think the hosts are good value for the victory at 131/100 (Marathon).

Julian Nagelsmann has breathed life into the club since taking over in February 2016 and the Sinsheim side play great football with plenty of goals. Only losing one game on home soil and currently on a unbeaten streak of 20 (winning 13) at the Rhein-Neckar, Hoffe are scoring an average of 1.90 goals per-game here in the Bundesliga.

Dominco Tedesco’s visitors have started the season well, collecting nine points and sitting sixth in the top-tier in Germany. But Schalke do seem to struggle away from Gelsenkirchen; over their last 20 away days, the Royal Blues’ record is an unappealing W5-D5-L10, shipping an average of 1.40 goals per-game and managing just three clean sheets.

With Hoffenheim strong at home and Schalke’s woes on the road, get on the hosts for all three points.

RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | Saturday 23rd September 2017, 14:30

RB Leipzig welcome a strong looking Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday and I think both teams have a great chance of scoring at 11/13 (188BET).

Ralph Hasenhuttl’s hosts boast fantastic Shot Ratio statistics at the Red Bull Arena; indeed, the home side are fourth in terms of total shot ratio and third when drilling into the shots on-target ratio table.

In their opening two games here, Leipzig have amassed a total of 39 shots, scoring six goals but also conceding in both encounters, including to a poor Freiburg outfit. With a current xG of 1.77, we should expect them to notch.

Frankfurt have proven to be a tough team to beat on their travels under Niko Kovac (W2-D1-L0) and the Eagles can also lay claim to strong shot ratio statistics when playing away, ranking seventh in TSR and eighth in SOTR.

With Eintracht’s solid xG of 1.11 and the Red Bulls susceptible at the back, I can see the guests grabbing a goal, making Both Teams To Score an appealing angle.

Best Bets

Hoffenheim v Schalke – Hoffenheim to win (131/100 Marathon)

RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt – Both Teams To Score (11/13 188BET)

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