DARTS expert Boring Winners (@BoringWinners) has nailed four winners from his last five World Matchplay selections. Here’s his verdict on Tuesday evening’s action.
World Matchplay Darts | 25th July 2017 | Sky Sports
More profit on Monday night so we come into Tuesday in good form with six winners from our last seven selections.
Tuesday evening could be a great spectacle; I don’t think I’ve been as excited for a session of darts like this in ages. You have two of the best in the world in Peter Wright and Gary Andersen facing two of the best up-and-coming players in the world in Cristo Reyes and Daryl Gurney.
From a betting standpoint, Tuesday could be as good as Sunday’s clean sweep.
Mensur Suljovic v Justin Pipe | Tuesday 19:15 | Sky Sports
My first selection is Mensur Suljovic -2.5 handicap and both Suljovic and Justin Pipe to hit Over 2.5 180s at 7/4 with SkyBet.
Suljovic will be a Premier League player next year, no doubt. He’s consistently played well recently but he will need to go deep in a major to prove he’s Premier League quality.
Mensur won the opening round comfortably, beating John Henderson 10-4. It wasn’t Suljovic’s best performance but he didn’t need one as Henderson never pushed him. He averaged 94, hit three maximums and was around 30% on his doubles.
Much like Suljovic, Pipe faced a player who never threatened him. He averaged 90, hit six maximums and around 30% on his doubles.
So very similar performances here but I see a larger scope for improvement in Suljovic. He’s played a lot better this year whereas Pipe hasn’t.
I still see this match going over 16 legs. Both players meet the 180s line in their 14 and 15 leg matches so they should reach it again here. I just think Suljovic is a much better player and he should win by more than three legs.
Darren Webster v Steve West | Tuesday 20:15 | Sky Sports
Next, I’m backing Over 17 legs, Steve West to hit Over 4 180s and Darren Webster to hit Over 2 180s at 7/4 with William Hill.
Many will see this as the weakest game of the night but I’m very interested to see what happens. Both players landed the spoils on Day 1; West pulled out a huge performance to beat tournament fancy Michael Smith 10-5. He played exceptionally well, averaging 100, hitting five maximums and hitting 43% of his doubles.
It begs to be seen whether he’ll be able to produce this again. – I don’t think he will but he won’t be far off it.
Webster also played well when beating James Wade 13-11. He averaged 96, hit five maximums and hit 40% of his doubles.
So like the Suljovic game, both players played pretty. The longer the match goes, the more the chance the lads have of hitting 180s. A quarter-final in a big major is on the line so both will be nervous ,which will lead to a few edgy darts on the doubles.
I can definitely see this match going to a tie-break.
Gary Andersen v Daryl Gurney | Tuesday 21:30 | Sky Sports
In Tuesday’s third match I like both Gary Anderson and Daryl Gurney to hit Over 4.5 180s and Over 16.5 legs at 11/8 (SkyBet).
If you’re getting on this bet get on it as quickly as possible. When I first requested it, it was 13/8 with SkyBet then William Hill put it up at 4/5 – SkyBet then decreased their odds and now William Hill won’t even offer the bet!
These two players met just last week and, boy was it an absolute belter. Gurney won the encounter 8-4 with him also winning the 180s match 6-4.
The format on Tuesday is a longer one and I see it being a lot closer.
Gary’s performance in the opening round was brilliant; he’s switched back to his darts that he says he “can hit doubles with”. His switch clearly worked out – he beat Kist 10-7 averaging 102, hit 10 maximums and hit 34% of his doubles.
I think Gary could go all the way in this tournament. He seemed focused and angry on the opening night at the PDC for favouring Michael van Gerwen with the scheduling of matches.
When Gary’s angry you do not want to play him, he’ll also be gunning to wipe the smirk off Gurney’s face after the defeat he had at the hands of the Irishman last week.
Gurney was good not brilliant on Sunday when getting past Benito van de Pas. His doubling was a concern but he still averaged 96 and hit six maximums.
A lot of people fancy Gurney for this but I can’t see him beating Andersen with the mood he’s in. Gurney should be able to reach at the very least six legs with the further he goes, the better for this bet. Once the 180s start flying in they’ll be no let up.
Hopefully the game goes the distance but I see Gary winning by four legs. Five 180s from each player should happen, baring a miracle. Gurney will need to get out of the blocks quickly though…
Peter Wright v Cristo Reyes | Tuesday 22:30 | Sky Sports
In the night’s concluder, I’m backing Cristo Reyes +3.5 handicap and Cristo Reyes Over 3 180s at 13/8 with William Hill.
I’m looking forward to Tuesday’s action because of this game mostly – it could be the match of the season!
Reyes is playing brilliant stuff; he produced the performance of the 1st Round for me when beating Thornton 10-3. He averaged 101, hit five maximums and was 41% on his doubles.
Peter Wright was a disappointment on the opening night when just scraping over James Wilson 10-8 while averaging below 90.
Everyone knows at this stage Wright is having problems with darts, he not only changed his flights mid-game but also his darts. To do one of those mid-match is crazy but to do both is mind-boggling. Confidence in your darts is huge and with Wright struggling on them he may falter here.
Reyes has a throw which can’t really go wrong. He has one of the straightest throws in the game with little movement. Also Reyes could not care less who he plays or where he plays them. He was down 3-0 to MVG in the Worlds and rallied back to 3-2. Nothing fazes him and if you think for even a second he’ll be fazed, you know nothing about him.
Reyes loves playing Wright as well. He defeated him last time out 6-5 (Wright averaged 102 that day), he lost 6-5 the time before, lost 10-7 last October and lost 6-5 last March, so he’s always been extremely close to Wight. Wright was also in great form at those times, he averaged over 100 in two of his last three meetings with Reyes and Reyes was still very close.
If Reyes is close to Wright when Wright is playing well, think what he can do when Wright is off-form. I think Reyes will win this match and I’ve taken him at 4/1 but I’ve just gone safe here in case Wright shows up.
Mensur Suljovic v Justin Pipe – Mensur Suljovic -2.5 handicap and both players to hit Over 2.5 180s (7/4 Skybet)
Darren Webster v Steve West – Over 17 legs, Steve West to hit Over 4 180s and Darren Webster to hit Over 2 180s (7/4 William Hill)
Gary Andersen v Daryl Gurney – Both players to hit Over 4.5 180s and Over 16.5 legs (11/8 SkyBet)
Peter Wright v Cristo Reyes – Cristo Reyes +3.5 handicap and Cristo Reyes Over 3 180s (13/8 William Hill)