CARD king Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has spotted some excellent bookings value in the Football League on Tuesday night.
Crewe v Wycombe | Tuesday 19:45
League Two action at Gresty Road catches my eye on Tuesday evening as Crewe host Wycombe.
The Railwaymen occupy 18th place and will be buoyed by their 5-0 demolition of Grimsby at this venue on Saturday.
Visitors Wycombe sit just outside the play-off positions and desperately need to pick up points here having stumbled 2-0 at Stevenage on the weekend.
Contrast in cards
What strikes me here is the stark difference between these two clubs in terms of discipline; Crewe are the most disciplined outfit at this level collecting 28 yellows and a red card in their 30 league matches so far this season.
Contrast that with the Chairboys who sit seventh in the disciplinary table with 62 yellows and two red cards – Gareth Ainsworth’s men average more than double the average number of cards given to Crewe.
If we include all matches played this season then Crewe average 1.00 card per-game compared to 2.17 for Wycombe – again a significant difference.
The betting angle
Lancashire official Michael Salisbury is in charge here. He averages 3.45 cards per-game at this level and 3.65 cards per-game overall this season.
In limited career games officiating the hosts he typically gives them 1.50 cards per-game and averages 2.00 per-match to Wycombe.
I’m really surprised how this has been priced up. To me, Wycombe to collect the most bookings points at 11/8 with William Hill looks like great value.
Crewe v Wycombe – Wycombe to collect the most bookings points (11/8 William Hill)