World Darts Championship: ‘Machine’ to march on

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DARTS expert Mark Stinchombe (@MarkStinchcombe) shares a selection from Wednesday’s World Championship action.

James Wade v Ronny Huybrechts | Wednesday 21:00 | Sky Sports 3

James Wade opens his 2017 World Championship account as heavy 1/7 favourite against Ronny Huybrechts.

Wade has had his usual consistent year – winner of the European Matchplay in May, he made the final of the Shanghai Darts Masters, semi-finals of the Champions League and final of the Grand Slam with only Michael van Gerwen denying him in those two finals.

Ronny Huybrechts has had a fairly decent year for a player of his standing. With his brother Kim, they knocked Scotland out of the World Cup and he missed two darts to win a Players Championship against Simon Whitlock.

However, Huybrechts’ recent performances leave a little to be desired, losing in the first round of the Players Championship finals and opening stage of the last two European tour events – both as 4/9 favourite.

The head-to-head actually stands at 2-2, although they haven’t faced each other since September 2015 and never longer than best of 11 legs. With Wade having not lost in the 1st Round for over a decade and the current form of the two, it would be a big upset if Ronny won.

‘Machine’ to go low on 180s

The bet I like here is Wade to throw Under 3.5 180s at even-money (SkyBet). ‘The Machine’ has never been a proficient 180 hitter and the data this year suggests that’s set to continue.

In 171 legs in the Premier League he hit 35 180s (0.20 per-leg) and since the Champions League of Darts in September, Wade has thrown 51 180s in 267 legs (0.19 per-leg). The market suggests 14.5 legs which would have James in for around 2.83 180s.

As short as 3/5 elsewhere, this bet would have won in 16 of his last 20 TV matches (80%).

Best Bets

James Wade v Ronny Huybrechts – James Wade Under 3.5 180s (1/1 SkyBet)

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Mark eats, sleeps and breathes football. As soon as he was old enough to bet he was figuring out ways to make his encyclopaedic knowledge of the beautiful game pay. With a degree in computer programming and three years industry experience trading for a major firm, Mark's meticulous approach leaves no stone unturned in the quest for winners. When not gambling, Mark enjoys playing football for his local side and following Liverpool around the country.

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