Football League Tips | 7th-8th May 2016

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THE regular Football League season concludes this weekend and Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) shares his four favourite fancies from the coupon.

Middlesbrough v Brighton | Saturday 12.30 | Sky Sports

  • Two teams on 88 points – enough for automatic promotion in each of the past 14 seasons.
  • Winner wins promotion to the Premier League.
  • Middlesbrough require just a point for promotion.
  • Middlesbrough W16-D4-L2 at home and unbeaten at the Riverside since January.
  • Middlesbrough have shipped just seven goals at home.
  • Brighton W9-D11-L2 away but unbeaten in 13 (W9-D4-L0) with one defeat in 19 (W13-D5-L1).
  • Middlesbrough have seen HT draws in 12/22 (55%) home and Brighton have followed suit in 13/22 (59%).
  • With stakes so high and two tense teams on show, this might be a slow-burner.

Preston v Leeds | Saturday 12.30

  • Leeds surprisingly beaten at home to Charlton last weekend but W3-D1-L0 in previous four matches.
  • Steve Evans and club still keen on completing the campaign in the top-half.
  • Leeds have W7-D8-L7 away – exclude the top-three and Leeds have W7-D8-L4 away.
  • Preston W3-D4-L5 in their most recent 12 outings.
  • Preston W7-D9-L6 at home in the league, exclude sides in 16th and below and they’ve W2-D6-L5 at home.
  • Only scored 20 home goals – the second-worst tally in the division.
  • Leeds avoiding defeat in 15/19 at teams outside the top-three and Preston winning only 2/13 from the top-15, we’ll make money if Leeds avoid defeat again.

Accrington v Stevenage | Saturday 15.00

  • Accrington need a win to confirm promotion.
  • Accrington’s 65% shots-on-target ratio figure the league’s best – suggests most dominant team in League Two this season – extends to 67% at home.
  • Accrington W11-D8-L3 at home this season – 7/11 home wins included BTTS.
  • Accrington seen 18/22 at home feature BTTS but scored 2+ in 12/22 home.
  • Stevenage W3-D4-L1 in last eight games including four clean sheets.
  • Stevenage W5-D6-L11 away, keeping just one clean sheet.
  • Stevenage seen 16/22 away games feature BTTS, only failing to score in five.

Swindon v Shrewsbury | Sunday 12.30

  • Two teams safe with little bar pride to play for, which could result in an open and entertaining encounter.
  • Swindon seen 16/22 home games feature BTTS and 15/22 home games feature Over 2.5 Goals.
  • Swindon have scored in 18/22 home games, notched 2+ goals in 11/22 at home but kept only 2/22 clean sheets at the County Ground.
  • Star midfield man Yaser Kasim is expected to return to Swindon’s XI here.
  • Shrewsbury’s last 11 matches have featured 43 goals – an average of 3.91 goals-per-game – as all 11 featured BTTS and 9/11 Over 2.5 Goals.
  • Shrewsbury have seen 15/22 away feature BTTS and 13/22 away feature Over 2.5 Goals.
  • Shrewsbury have scored in 17/22 away, notching 2+ goals in 9/22 away but only keeping 4/22 clean sheets on their travels.

Best Bets

Middlesbrough v Brighton – 0-0 half-time correct score (7/4 William Hill)

Leeds v Preston – Leeds +0.25 Asian Handicap (7/6 BetVictor)

Swindon v Shrewsbury – Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score (5/6 Stan James)

Accrington v Stevenage – Accrington to win and Both Teams To Score (85/40 BetVictor)

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After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production. With a huge passion for stats, the Football League and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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