HAVING delivered 3/3 weekend winners, card king Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) is back for more with an angle on Monday night’s La Liga action.
Sporting Gijon v Getafe | Monday 19.30 | Sky Sports 3
La Liga action returns on Monday evening as Getafe travel north to play Sporting Gijon.
After the weekend fixtures this is a relegation battle – Sporting (18th) are now sitting in the bottom-three whilst the visitors from Madrid occupy 15th-place and need to consolidate their position outside of the relegation zone.
As regular readers of this column will know, Getafe are an ill disciplined team averaging 3.53 cards-per-game – a huge 68% of those cards have arrived in the second half of matches.
The hosts average 3.00 cards-per-game and a very healthy 61% of those cautions have been dished out after the half time oranges.
The previous meetings between these two teams have had very high total card counts reading 8-15-9. That makes calling a punt of this difficult, as there are plenty of options – I considered Over 5.5 Cards at 8/11 with Bet365, Getafe to receive Over 3 Cards at 5/4 and Getafe to see the Most Cards at 7/10 with William Hill.
The whisteblower in this tussle is Javier Estrada Fernandez. He is relatively lenient, averaging 5.33 cards-per-game and he gives 67% of his cards in the second half of matches (3.57 cards-per-game).
If they stick to their averages, Sporting Gijon will collect 1.83 cards after the interval and Getafe 2.40 – that implies a total second-half figure of 4.23 cards.
In the aforementioned past three encounters between these two clubs, the second half cards total read 5-10-6 – so again, very supportive stats.
Famous last words here but this referee likes to keep things tight in the first half. With solid trends in our favour, I’m backing Over 3 Cards in the second-half at evens with William Hill.
Sporting Gijon v Getafe – Over 3 Cards in the second half (1/1 William Hill)
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