GAVIN MURPHY (@GamePlanGavin) is delving into the Coppa Italia on Tuesday night as he bids to play his cards right.
Napoli v Inter Milan | Tuesday 19.45 | Sky Sports 2
There are some very strong stats in our favour on Tuesday night as Inter Milan travel to the San Paolo to tackle Napoli in the quarter finals of the Coppa Italia.
These two teams met at the same stage last year in a game Napoli won and there were six cards shown. In fact, the last few meetings in Naples have produced total card figures of 6-8-6 whilst the recent league meeting in November featured eight cautions.
The referee is Paolo Valeri. In nine matches this season he’s dished out six or more cards on eight occasions – that’s 89% – very strong trends.
In career games officiating Napoli, Valeri has flashed an average of 2.84 cards-per-game and 3.47 cards-per-game to Inter – that implies a total of 6.31 cards.
Roberto Mancini labelled his players as ‘chickens’ after the last encounter between these two. And in knockout cup football there should be plenty of needle in this game.
With very strong stats and plenty of passion expected, I’m backing Over 55 Bookings Points with William Hill at 10/11.
If you’re new to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives 2 yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 points.
Napoli v Inter Milan – Over 55 Bookings Points (10/11 William Hill)
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