CARD KING Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) is dipping his toes into Monday night’s La Liga offering for his next taste of bookings action.
Deportivo La Coruna v Rayo Vallecano | Monday 19.30 | Sky Sports 3
Rayo Vallecano travel north to Galicia in desperate need of points as they battle Deportivo in La Coruna.
Depor sit comfortably in ninth position whereas the visitors are 19th and in big trouble, mainly because they are hopeless defensively.
La Liga’s most lenient referee, Iniaki Garrido, gets the whistle. He averages just 4.09 cards-per-game this season and you may recall we had a juicy 15/8 winner with him a few weeks ago when he gave just two cards whilst in charge of Atletico Madrid v Las Palmas.
I think the Asian line of 6 cards is too high with this ref. Deportivo average 2.60 cards-per-game and Rayo 3.60 cards-per-game.
However, Vallecano pick up a lot of reds (7). So for that reason I’m leaving the Unders alone.
But I do hope I’ve found a nice angle to exploit instead – Bet365 are offering a ‘Time Of First Card’ market and have pitched it at before/after 24th minute.
Of course, anything can happen but in 11 La Liga games this year Garrido has given a card before 24th minute just once (Espanyol v Real Madrid).
With an average of around four cards in the entire match typically shown by the whistblower, that’s perhaps not too surprising. With a track record of winning 10/11 times already this season, I’m prepared to back ‘No’ in the Time Of First Card with Bet365’s set at 24 and the odds available at 5/6.
Deportivo La Coruna v Rayo Vallecano – Card Before The 24th Minute ‘No’ (5/6 Bet365)
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