CARD KING Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) lines up a selection from Sunday afternoon’s Serie A coupon.
Bologna v Sampdoria | Sunday 14.00
The bottom of Serie A is so tight that 13th-placed Bologna host 17th-placed Sampdoria in what must be classed as a relegation dogfight. These two teams are only separated by three points.
Sampdoria offloaded their main goalscorer Eder to Inter Milan this week in an odd move that blunts their attack.
This fixture has a history of cards – there were seven when they met in Genoa earlier in the season. Indeed, the past five head-to-heads have all over gone over this week's line of 4.5 cards.
Pain in the ass referee Michael Fabbri is in charge. He started the season off like a house on fire, issuing plenty of cards.
However, the whistbleblower has slowed since, with his average dropping to 4.63 cards-per-game. He tends to let a lot go on occasions but hopefully not this weekend.
Bologna are Italy's fourth most ill-disciplined team and Sampdoria are usually good for a card too.
William Hill have Over 4.5 Cards as a 2/5 (1.40 in decimals) shot but Bet365 are offering 1.825 on their Asian line.
With a lot at stake and a 100% record in the past five meetings, I'm backing Over 4.5 cards with Bet365 at the generous looking 1.825.
Best Bets
Bologna v Sampdoria – Over 4.5 Cards (1.825 Bet365)
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