THE 3rd Round of the Australian Open gets going on Saturday morning and Mark Stinchombe’s (@MarkStinchcombe) lined up two bets to follow.
Joao Sousa v Andy Murray | Saturday 08.00 | Eurosport
Andy Murray takes on Joao Sousa in a repeat of last years 3rd Round match.
This is a pretty big mismatch with Murray winning all six career meetings and 15 of the 16 sets the two have contested.
Murray dominates the match-up with Sousa not possessing any weapons that can do anything to hurt the Scot. Five of their six meetings have taken place on hard courts with Sousa yet to take a set.
Murray 3-0 is best price 2/7 but we can obtain value in a similar way by backing Andy -9.5 games at 1.98 with Marathon.
Their meeting here last year finished 6-1, 6-1, 7-5 (12 games) and in 2013 they faced each other in Round 2 with a 6-2, 6-2, 6-4 result (10 games).
Add to this that Murray has already beaten big-serving Groth by 13 games and Zverev by 12 games here, shows what sort of form Andy is in.
Johanna Konta v Denisa Allertova | Saturday 00.00 | Eurosport
These two have met once before last year in the 1st Round of the French Open with Allertova coming through in three sets.
But since then Johanna Konta has gone from strength to strength. She has won 32 of her last 42 matches including 23 of her 27 hard court matches (85%), beating the likes of Halep, Azarenka, Venus Williams, Muguruza and Petkovic x2 – ridiculously impressive.
Konta has managed to eliminate the nerves that once dogged her game and is playing consistently impressive tennis. She opened up at 8/13 in places but has since been backed into a more realistic 4/9.
However, the bet that stands out for me is the Brit to cover the 3.5 game handicap at 1.97 with Marathon.
Konta‘s defeated Zheng by seven games and Venus Williams by six and with Allertova spraying 68 unforced errors in her two matches, I expect Jo to be too consistent for the Czech.
This bet would have won in 19 of her last 26 hard court matches since their meeting at the French (73%).
Joao Sousa v Andy Murray – Andy Murray -9.5 games (1.98 Marathon)
Johanna Konta v Denisa Allertova – Johanna Konta -3.5 games (1.97 Marathon)
Bet365’s 50% Tennis Acca Bonus + Free Cash & Free Bet For Joining Via WLB!
Bet365 are giving players the chance to earn a 50% bonus on winning accas. This applies to pre-match accumulators on To Win Match, First Set Winner and Set Betting markets for singles and doubles matches. Full terms and conditions can be found here.
It’s also worth noting that Bet365 will be offering live streaming of the Australian Open throughout the tournament. And if you’re yet to join, drop us an email at [email protected] – we’ll sort you out with a free bet and free cash, just for signing up via WLB.
World Cup 2018: The Ultimate Betting Guide
Our 130-page spectacular, World Cup 2018: The Ultimate Betting Guide, is available to buy NOW!
The interactive magazine includes previews, videos, stats and tips for all 32 teams, features on Outright Winners, Top Goalscorer, Refs & Cards, Dark Horses, Flops, Knock-out Betting and much more.
22 football experts contribute to our Ask the Experts feature and there’s over 5 hours of exclusive audio with 5 of the planet’s most respected reporters who discuss the chances of each nation with our very own Mark O’Haire.
And if that wasn’t enough there’s a free bet up for grabs with our partners Ladbrokes.